@demlo

#2,844,0345

0xf6da15d6e03be00d4ac22107207cd6f759853699

~20d· 140 markets · 814 tradesVol: $33,6022026-08-06 06:24:11
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

5
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

15% (9/61)0/20
0.57x (win $694 / loss $1,225)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -10.9780/15
Sortino -9.8280/10
$-0.0709 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1411 (61 markets)5.4/10
3/15 profitable days (20%)0/10
Max DD 14456% of peak ($535 / $4)0/10

Badges

2
Contrarian
54% entries < $0.55
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,537,947$-124Vol: $12,854
💰 FINANCE#640,796$-172Vol: $7,932
⚽ SPORTS#1,577,998$-45Vol: $4,481
📈 ECONOMICS#639,016$-31Vol: $3,000
🎭 CULTURE#727,655$-21Vol: $1,395
📢 MENTIONS#140,685$-18Vol: $937
₿ CRYPTO#776,049$-0Vol: $440
🌤️ WEATHER#244,679$-10Vol: $403
💻 TECH#229,692$-12Vol: $400

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-477
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$33,602
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
140
total markets
Trades
497B / 317S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~20d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-477
Vol: $33,602

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
15%
9W / 52L events
Realized PnL
$-477
Win Rate
15%
9W / 52L
Profit Factor
0.57x
Avg Win
$77
Avg Loss
$-26

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $523 (1.097079235946575% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$337
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in July?$108
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $170B by July 31?$78
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?$41
Will PARIVISION win the EWC Dota 2 Tournament$40
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?$35
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?$33
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?$21

Top Losers

Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$-182
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?$-89
Will Gen.G win the EWC League of Legends Tournament$-76
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$-68
Will Hanwha Life Esports win the EWC League of Legends Tournament$-67
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$-59
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?$-53
Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $9B by July 31?$-39
Will Shopify Rebellion Black Win North America ACE Stage 3$-34
Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $6B by July 31?$-31

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.555
Sortino
-0.599
HHI
418
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.149
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
19.6%
Top-5 markets
28.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
44.5m
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.53
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.6

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 69s — normal for humanCV 1.53 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock6 trades/day — normal1.1 markets/day — normal62% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.33
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)20.5%
Mid (20-55c)33.2%
High (>55c)46.3%

Sessions

#12
5/16/2026, 4:03:06 AM21 trades$2,2163 min
5/20/2026, 6:10:09 AM14 trades$8430 min
7/15/2026, 12:30:29 AM13 trades$3383 min
3/8/2026, 1:47:09 AM3 trades$3203 min
7/16/2026, 11:23:31 AM18 trades$2708 min
7/13/2026, 4:41:31 PM9 trades$1914 min
7/17/2026, 10:22:22 PM12 trades$1905 min
7/11/2026, 11:13:26 PM8 trades$1901 min
7/14/2026, 9:07:59 PM7 trades$1791 min
7/12/2026, 5:36:11 PM11 trades$1660 min
7/16/2026, 2:07:34 PM7 trades$1451 min
7/16/2026, 9:42:26 PM4 trades$1440 min
7/12/2026, 1:47:23 PM4 trades$1410 min
7/13/2026, 2:57:20 AM4 trades$1400 min
7/14/2026, 4:59:11 PM10 trades$1334 min
7/14/2026, 10:21:34 PM4 trades$1310 min
7/16/2026, 1:31:07 AM4 trades$1300 min
7/17/2026, 1:24:04 PM9 trades$1285 min
7/15/2026, 1:43:46 PM7 trades$1270 min
7/12/2026, 1:54:10 AM7 trades$1210 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-08
03-19
05-16
07-06
07-11
07-13
07-15
07-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 62 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.33/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L20.5 / M33.2 / H46.3