Multi-outcome · 5 open · 1 closed hidden
How many Republican Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?
Volume $53.6kTraders 154Trades 2,152
Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder · open only
Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly three nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
open · $3.6k
46.5%
Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly four nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
open · $4.1k
25.6%
Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
open · $29.7k
11.5%
Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in more than four nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
open · $3.8k
3.8%
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