0xd681a6b31e4976481f848bc70daf93532bfb9c2339b51bc3d5d592581c3003a3
Bearish lean
Implied Yes 30.1% · CLOB volume $3.6k · whales 24h net $-7 (2 wallets) · 7d net $70 · 5/6 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
30.1%
Yes
Implied No
69.9%
No
Volume
$3.6k
CLOB
Traders
65
241 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
20.2% → 47.5% (+27.3pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$-7
Buy
$13
Sell
$20
Whales
2
Last 7 days
Net flow
$70
Buy
$117
Sell
$46
Whales
8
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xb0c8…fe7f | $943 | $937 | $6 | $-931 |
| 0x907d…20c4 | $688 | $688 | $0 | $-688 |
| 0xd23f…94a1 | $496 | $491 | $5 | $-486 |
| 0x2c41…133e | $386 | $0 | $385 | $385 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xd5ff…8450 | 122 | $18.0k | $-6.5k | 1 |
| 0xd12f…e85a | 49 | $9.6k | $-4.0k | 2 |
| 0xb0c8…fe7f | 57 | $4.7k | $-4.7k | 6 |
| 0x2d4b…ca7a | 43 | $4.0k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
5 open · 6 total · Event board
Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly three nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
open · $3.6k
30.1%
Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly four nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
open · $4.1k
25.6%
Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
open · $29.7k
11.5%
Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in more than four nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
open · $3.8k
3.8%
Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly one nominating election in the 2026 cycle?
open · $3.0k
0.4%
Will Republican Senate incumbents win all their nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
closed · $4.2k
0.1%
| 0xb5b6…1fda | $334 | $1 | $333 | $332 |
| 0x764b…6bad | $154 | $142 | $13 | $-129 |
| 0xcaff…e3ad | $137 | $74 | $63 | $-10 |
| 0xd218…b5c9 | $80 | $76 | $4 | $-72 |
| 0xfd55…f905 | $75 | $71 | $4 | $-68 |
| 0xc3de…e227 | $62 | $27 | $35 | $9 |
| 0x2b59…9db6 | $58 | $22 | $36 | $14 |
| 0xb143…3c17 | $48 | $48 | $0 | $-48 |
| $-3.7k |
| 1 |
| 0xcee6…8233 | 23 | $3.5k | $-1.3k | 1 |
| 0xd23f…94a1 | 34 | $2.8k | $-1.7k | 6 |
| 0x2c41…133e | 30 | $1.9k | $556 | 4 |
| 0x907d…20c4 | 16 | $1.4k | $-1.4k | 3 |
| 0xb5b6…1fda | 7 | $1.3k | $1.3k | 2 |
| 0x1f9e…4f1a | 13 | $1.3k | $1.2k | 1 |
