Multi-outcome · 23 open
TIME Person of the Year 2026
Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder · open only
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?
open · $35.0k
28.5%
Will Mark Carney be TIME Person of the Year 2026?
open · $8.5k
17.0%
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?
open · $23.1k
10.0%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME Person of the Year 2026?
open · $4.1k
8.0%
Will Donald Trump be TIME Person of the Year 2026?
open · $12.7k
7.5%
Will James Talarico be TIME Person of the Year 2026?
open · $118
6.6%
Will Dario Amodei be TIME Person of the Year 2026?
open · $3.3k
5.8%
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME Person of the Year 2026?
open · $5.2k
5.1%
Will Victor Glover be TIME Person of the Year 2026?
open · $162
5.1%
Will Elon Musk be TIME Person of the Year 2026?
open · $2.9k
4.5%
Will Reid Wiseman be TIME Person of the Year 2026?
open · $118
4.5%
Will Bad Bunny be TIME Person of the Year 2026?
open · $248
4.3%
Will Jeremy Hansen be TIME Person of the Year 2026?
open · $206
4.0%
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be TIME Person of the Year 2026?
open · $9.1k
3.9%
Will Sam Altman be TIME Person of the Year 2026?
open · $291
3.7%
Will Shehbaz Sharif be TIME Person of the Year 2026?
open · $150
3.6%
Will Marco Rubio be TIME Person of the Year 2026?
open · $713
3.5%
Will Taylor Swift be TIME Person of the Year 2026?
open · $134
3.4%
Will Péter Magyar be TIME Person of the Year 2026?
open · $274
3.3%
Will ChatGPT be TIME Person of the Year 2026?
open · $146
3.2%
Will Alysa Liu be TIME Person of the Year 2026?
open · $79
3.2%
Will Jerome Powell be TIME Person of the Year 2026?
open · $289
2.1%
Will Christina Koch be TIME Person of the Year 2026?
open · $215
1.9%
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