Multi-outcome · 12 open · 4 closed hidden
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder · open only
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?
open · $1.37M
71.9%
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
open · $549.9k
12.7%
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?
open · $653.4k
2.8%
Will Israel strike 15 or more countries in 2026?
open · $195.9k
2.2%
Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?
open · $619.5k
2.0%
Will Israel strike 10 countries in 2026?
open · $401.5k
1.4%
Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026?
open · $531.2k
1.1%
Will Israel strike 9 countries in 2026?
open · $237.8k
1.1%
Will Israel strike 14 countries in 2026?
open · $192.8k
0.7%
Will Israel strike 12 countries in 2026?
open · $229.4k
0.5%
Top event traders (30d)
- 0x32d6…04f91 mkts · $70.7k
- 0x11c4…62191 mkts · $56.2k
- 0x40b3…a75c1 mkts · $26.5k
- 0x05cd…86a61 mkts · $24.5k
- 0x5b71…f7721 mkts · $21.6k
- 0x582e…490c1 mkts · $20.0k
- 0xeb1a…a5cd1 mkts · $19.9k
- 0x1e31…2c601 mkts · $17.8k
- 0x1eb8…54af1 mkts · $16.7k
- 0x1664…c71c2 mkts · $15.4k
- 0x3995…85c31 mkts · $11.6k
- 0xe0f7…3dcc1 mkts · $8.2k
- 0x0873…09e84 mkts · $5.9k
- 0x35eb…157d11 mkts · $5.7k
- 0xff4e…55023 mkts · $5.0k