0x1559fd02f1e6dc9ac3b3ed7fb41aa53e10df2a32d3ebbcab516efcaec6117d9e
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?” trades at 37% YES on Polymarket with $59.8k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 36.5% · CLOB volume $59.8k · whales 24h net $821 (15 wallets) · 7d net $2.0k · 3/3 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
36.5%
Yes
Implied No
63.5%
No
Volume
$59.8k
CLOB
Traders
201
1,471 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
36.0% → 36.0% (+0.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$821
Buy
$1.3k
Sell
$501
Whales
15
Last 7 days
Net flow
$2.0k
Buy
$3.7k
Sell
$1.7k
Whales
28
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x8341…de89 | $25.8k | $13.4k | $12.4k | $-994 |
| 0x88b6…3cff | $8.3k | $7.7k | $580 | $-7.2k |
| 0x41e8…626b | $7.6k | $4.0k | $3.6k | $-379 |
| 0x24fb…973e | $5.2k | $2.5k | $2.7k | $205 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x88b6…3cff | 237 | $55.0k | $-48.1k | 3 |
| 0xfadc…e474 | 52 | $51.4k | $39.3k | 1 |
| 0x36c8…53a9 | 86 | $44.5k | $-3.5k | 1 |
| 0x8a4c…532b | 91 | $39.8k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
3 open · 3 total · Event board
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?
open · $59.8k
36.5%
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?
open · $88.0k
12.5%
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?
open · $286.1k
2.5%
| 0x9ad0…bf3d | $3.1k | $3.1k | $80 | $-3.0k |
| 0x97ea…3363 | $3.1k | $2.1k | $1.0k | $-1.1k |
| 0xc0ee…ec14 | $3.1k | $2.4k | $641 | $-1.8k |
| 0x321e…9292 | $2.7k | $2.2k | $515 | $-1.6k |
| 0xa68b…c4b4 | $2.3k | $1.7k | $575 | $-1.2k |
| 0x652b…f5c2 | $2.3k | $1.1k | $1.2k | $92 |
| 0xb7d4…010d | $1.8k | $1.8k | $36 | $-1.7k |
| 0xf0d5…c665 | $1.8k | $657 | $1.1k | $436 |
| $-18.4k |
| 2 |
| 0x8341…de89 | 247 | $34.1k | $-6.4k | 3 |
| 0xc0ee…ec14 | 136 | $32.8k | $-6.1k | 3 |
| 0x67ac…edf1 | 69 | $27.2k | $-9.5k | 2 |
| 0x2c39…56dc | 13 | $24.0k | $-2.2k | 1 |
| 0x49b6…170c | 59 | $23.8k | $-3.3k | 1 |
| 0xf0d5…c665 | 59 | $22.9k | $699 | 3 |
