Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?

0x3c2bc7d80b4bf4bcac9fad6e22b344448e3ba0f5b6a603a5a766858eac8c5662

As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?” trades at 10% YES on Polymarket with $31.4k total volume.

Bearish lean

Implied Yes 9.5% · CLOB volume $31.4k · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $0.

Implied Yes

9.5%

Yes

Implied No

90.5%

Volume

$31.4k

CLOB

Traders

0 trades

Live snapshot from Polymarket (Gamma). This market is not fully in our on-chain index yet — whale tape and historical fills may be empty until sync catches up.

Yes 9.5%No 90.5%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Bull case

•Market still active / open
•Watch for whale buy acceleration vs mid

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 9.5% — No favored
•Thin liquidity ($31.4k) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

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Another pneumonic plague case in Russia by...?

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