0xbab5a91f04f1ebe8fb3842b90e0b59c04b59a17f4b7ee67aeb6ad30cdba3fdae
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?” trades at 1% YES on Polymarket with $163.3k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 1.3% · CLOB volume $163.3k · whales 24h net $3 (4 wallets) · 7d net $509 · 6/8 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
1.3%
Yes
Implied No
98.8%
No
Volume
$163.3k
CLOB
Traders
334
2,354 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$3
Buy
$208
Sell
$205
Whales
4
Last 7 days
Net flow
$509
Buy
$773
Sell
$264
Whales
8
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x0314…2f6d | $1000 | $541 | $459 | $-82 |
| 0xdabd…6ada | $335 | $175 | $160 | $-16 |
| 0xac4c…2200 | $314 | $9 | $305 | $296 |
| 0xfe2d…da35 | $282 | $190 | $93 | $-97 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x0314…2f6d | 92 | $2.8k | $-234 | 4 |
| 0xdabd…6ada | 86 | $1.6k | $-123 | 6 |
| 0x1387…55f8 | 13 | $1.1k | $-723 | 6 |
| 0x4f1d…8de2 | 81 | $1.0k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
6 open · 8 total · Event board
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
open · $118.5k
52.5%
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
open · $104.2k
47.0%
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
open · $163.3k
1.3%
Will 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
open · $65.3k
0.5%
Will more than 16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
open · $15.2k
0.4%
Will 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
open · $11.3k
0.1%
Will 15-16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
closed · $32.0k
0.1%
Will 13-14 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
closed · $11.1k
0.1%
| 0x510f…a43c | $273 | $273 | $0 | $-273 |
| 0xfd55…f905 | $214 | $150 | $64 | $-85 |
| 0x1387…55f8 | $183 | $183 | $0 | $-183 |
| 0x2884…d0c3 | $175 | $113 | $62 | $-52 |
| 0x4f1d…8de2 | $162 | $161 | $1 | $-161 |
| 0x1284…3694 | $136 | $136 | $0 | $-136 |
| 0x7474…cef7 | $127 | $126 | $1 | $-125 |
| 0x937d…ff94 | $125 | $125 | $0 | $-125 |
| $-808 |
| 8 |
| 0xad53…ef24 | 73 | $1.0k | $-781 | 3 |
| 0xfe2d…da35 | 67 | $936 | $-465 | 8 |
| 0xa8ae…8eb7 | 31 | $827 | $-54 | 1 |
| 0xe40a…e4a2 | 41 | $780 | $-687 | 8 |
| 0xf83e…4663 | 63 | $748 | $-511 | 8 |
| 0x907d…20c4 | 78 | $615 | $-615 | 4 |