0xd9fb1184af0064e5e34b129f5b79afa5a17b7e32f2953ab05efed82315fee6d4
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?” trades at 2% YES on Polymarket with $43.69M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 2.3% · CLOB volume $43.69M · whales 24h net $25.2k (68 wallets) · 7d net $532.2k · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
2.3%
Yes
Implied No
97.8%
No
Volume
$43.69M
CLOB
Traders
53,557
549,476 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
2.4% → 2.2% (-0.2pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$25.2k
Buy
$38.4k
Sell
$13.2k
Whales
68
Last 7 days
Net flow
$532.2k
Buy
$894.7k
Sell
$362.5k
Whales
421
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x4337…8882 | $565.7k | $381.5k | $184.1k | $-197.4k |
| 0x51df…458f | $544.6k | $268.2k | $276.4k | $8.2k |
| 0xc97b…47e5 | $390.5k | $313.6k | $76.9k | $-236.8k |
| 0xf3e9…ec41 | $384.2k | $29.9k | $354.3k | $324.5k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x4337…8882 | 70 | $565.7k | $-197.4k | 1 |
| 0x51df…458f | 50 | $544.6k | $8.2k | 1 |
| 0xc97b…47e5 | 330 | $390.5k | $-236.8k | 1 |
| 0xf3e9…ec41 | 185 | $384.2k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
1 open · 1 total
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
open · $43.69M
2.3%
| 0x785d…fab9 | $239.3k | $239.3k | $0 | $-239.3k |
| 0x9c96…8708 | $211.2k | $163.0k | $48.2k | $-114.8k |
| 0xe749…f771 | $206.6k | $200.2k | $6.4k | $-193.7k |
| 0x8bc8…97dc | $174.5k | $169.8k | $4.7k | $-165.0k |
| 0x22e4…ef1c | $164.6k | $75.7k | $89.0k | $13.3k |
| 0x6ae1…1e7e | $153.9k | $78.2k | $75.7k | $-2.5k |
| 0x8349…c99d | $148.0k | $75.0k | $72.9k | $-2.1k |
| 0x996a…e3cc | $143.1k | $102.7k | $40.3k | $-62.4k |
| $324.5k |
| 1 |
| 0x785d…fab9 | 11 | $239.3k | $-239.3k | 1 |
| 0x9c96…8708 | 87 | $211.2k | $-114.8k | 1 |
| 0xe749…f771 | 21 | $206.6k | $-193.7k | 1 |
| 0x8bc8…97dc | 886 | $174.5k | $-165.0k | 1 |
| 0x22e4…ef1c | 118 | $164.6k | $13.3k | 1 |
| 0x6ae1…1e7e | 74 | $153.9k | $-2.5k | 1 |
