Oracle profile · 0xe752…2200

0xe752c8fb588608395a0dae82ab7bc18c19c02200

Strong calibration — consistently better than the 0.25 random baseline.

Calibration band: strong · Leaderboard: #116,429 of 502,378

Brier score

0.146

Accuracy

80.4%

Resolved positions

917

Resolved volume

$21.6K

Avg outcome rate

18.5%

Avg conf. on correct

75.6¢

Full trader analyticsOracle leaderboardMethodology

Calibration curve

Each bucket groups resolved positions by average entry price. Compare avg price (what the market implied) to outcome rate (how often that side paid). Well-calibrated traders keep those numbers close across buckets with enough n.

BucketAvg priceOutcome ratenBrier
0.00-0.102.4¢7.5%4530.070
0.10-0.2014.8¢15.1%1060.128
0.20-0.3024.6¢17.1%1050.146
0.30-0.4034.8¢26.4%530.200
0.40-0.5045.3¢31.6%380.243
0.50-0.6054.6¢34.2%410.272
0.60-0.7063.9¢33.3%210.317
0.70-0.8075.3¢27.3%110.442
0.80-0.9085.3¢66.7%480.251
0.90-1.0094.7¢48.8%410.461

Most resolved positions sit in bucket 0.00-0.10 (n=453). Heavy concentration in cheap long-shot or near-certain prices can dominate headline Brier — read sparse buckets with caution.

How to read this oracle profile

This page is a resolved-market accuracy dossier for 0xe752c8fb588608395a0dae82ab7bc18c19c02200. It does not show open positions, mark-to-market PnL, or Smart Score — those live on the full trader analytics page.

  • Brier — aggregate squared error vs 0/1 outcomes; ~0.25 is a coin-flip baseline.
  • Accuracy — share of resolved positions that paid in the trader's favor.
  • Volume / n — sample size. High accuracy on tiny notional is weak evidence.
  • Calibration — whether cheap entries actually win rarely and expensive ones win often.

Research only — Polydata never executes trades. Cross-check the leaderboard, methodology, and Polymarket analytics before drawing conclusions.