Red781RuM

@Red781RuM

#3,98774

0x04bf21c2527ae8d54a2f713a6420c608366c7caf

~302d· 942 markets · 6776 tradesVol: $1,574,522 @Red781RuM2026-08-06 06:11:47
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

74
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

57% (486/850)13.6/20
1.39x (win $144,779 / loss $104,067)7.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.08515/15
Sortino 4.31410/10
$+0.0599 per $1 invested3/10
HHI 89 (850 markets)10/10
123/222 profitable days (55%)6.4/10
Max DD 26% of peak ($11,700 / $45,143)8.8/10

Badges

8
Profitable
PnL $+44,880
DCA Master
Avg 6.4 entries/market
Whale
$679,432 invested
High Roller
$1,430/day
Cool Head
Max DD 26%
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
71% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#2,601$16,038Vol: $555,713
🎭 CULTURE#1,488$5,230Vol: $348,051
CRYPTO#12,782$3,650Vol: $226,241
💰 FINANCE#167$25,236Vol: $212,375
📈 ECONOMICS#682,368$-4,038Vol: $129,048
SPORTS#1,871,543$-4,520Vol: $34,437
📢 MENTIONS#176,211$-1,931Vol: $22,326
💻 TECH#963$1,691Vol: $21,515
🌤️ WEATHER#4,601$220Vol: $4,505

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$44,198
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,574,522
Total Redeem
$3,583
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
942
total markets
Trades
5530B / 1246S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~302d

Periods

#2
Today
$-259
Vol: $0
Week
$206
Vol: $10,757
Month
$-323
Vol: $12,567
All Time
$44,198
Vol: $1,574,522

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
57%
486W / 364L events
Realized PnL
$44,880
Win Rate
57%
486W / 364L
Profit Factor
1.39x
Avg Win
$298
Avg Loss
$-294

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $26,351 (0.5871485183150938% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?$12,769
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?$7,165
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?$6,417
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$4,047
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?$3,950
Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?$3,583
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada in 2025?$2,762
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?$2,625
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$2,510
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?$2,462

Top Losers

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-6,368
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?$-3,481
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-3,325
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$-2,896
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?$-2,617
Nothing Ever Happens: June$-2,160
Will Player 167 win Beast Games: Season 2?$-1,995
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?$-1,863
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$-1,832
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin May 20-26?$-1,708

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.109
Sortino
0.182
HHI
51
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.068
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.7%
Top-5 markets
10.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
14.3
Active
Markets / Day
2.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.71
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.2

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 370s — normal for humanCV 3.71 — diverse sizes (human-like)27% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock14 trades/day — very active2.0 markets/day — normal71% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.39
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)20.9%
Mid (20-55c)26.4%
High (>55c)52.7%

Sessions

#12
2/21/2026, 2:26:22 PM2 trades$19,3004 min
2/17/2026, 9:45:01 PM1 trades$19,2980 min
1/6/2026, 6:02:03 PM6 trades$13,11611 min
3/1/2026, 8:51:25 AM48 trades$9,88733 min
2/23/2026, 11:24:54 PM1 trades$9,5730 min
2/22/2026, 9:37:18 AM1 trades$8,2260 min
2/14/2026, 11:08:09 AM20 trades$7,94324 min
11/26/2025, 9:29:59 AM8 trades$7,55214 min
2/17/2026, 5:01:43 AM5 trades$6,7938 min
2/28/2026, 4:32:27 AM1 trades$5,9220 min
2/22/2026, 8:38:54 AM5 trades$5,7125 min
2/8/2026, 6:30:45 AM1 trades$5,6940 min
6/14/2026, 11:45:54 PM11 trades$5,6327 min
2/18/2026, 10:09:34 AM1 trades$5,5300 min
2/24/2026, 12:52:18 PM7 trades$5,3649 min
3/3/2026, 10:53:55 PM2 trades$5,3305 min
2/27/2026, 11:57:57 AM4 trades$5,0406 min
2/22/2026, 7:35:50 AM1 trades$5,0000 min
2/28/2026, 6:21:57 AM7 trades$4,9601 min
5/3/2025, 4:32:04 AM1 trades$4,8940 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-21
06-24
12-17
02-02
03-24
05-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 5 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
18.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.39/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L20.9 / M26.4 / H52.7