@bowen-nb

#149,59367

0x08141e126e884d921342bdb8618c5e44fe89e35e

~42d· 51 markets · 518 tradesVol: $41,8462026-10-08 03:09:38
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

67
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

63% (29/46)16.5/20
1.43x (win $3,039 / loss $2,127)7.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.60115/15
Sortino 12.18510/10
$+0.0340 per $1 invested1.7/10
HHI 2732 (46 markets)0/10
13/24 profitable days (54%)6/10
Max DD 22% of peak ($227 / $1,012)9.5/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 63%
Profitable
PnL $+269
DCA Master
Avg 12.3 entries/market
Cool Head
Max DD 22%
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,628,332$-951Vol: $23,924
📢 MENTIONS#1,065$1,267Vol: $8,378
💰 FINANCE#644,236$-110Vol: $7,775
💻 TECH#259,769$-56Vol: $1,200
🎭 CULTURE#68,281$10Vol: $264
₿ CRYPTO#211,885$11Vol: $145
⚽ SPORTS#122,336$96Vol: $140

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$269
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$41,846
Total Redeem
$6,630
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
51
total markets
Trades
350B / 168S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~42d

Periods

#2
Today
$-5
Vol: $0
Week
$-6
Vol: $0
Month
$35
Vol: $4,044
All Time
$269
Vol: $41,846

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
62%
28W / 17L events
Realized PnL
$269
Win Rate
62%
28W / 17L
Profit Factor
1.43x
Avg Win
$105
Avg Loss
$-125

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,535 (9.43070227644696% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$2,060
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$289
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$186
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$117
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?$69
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?$53
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?$41
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$40
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?$31
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?$27

Top Losers

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$-1,297
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$-268
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?$-161
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-156
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in October?$-78
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$-42
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$-40
Will SpaceX IPO on June 12, 2026?$-19
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$-18
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 25?$-16

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.236
Sortino
0.506
HHI
5815
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.025
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
74.2%
Top-5 markets
102.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.81
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.2

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 73s — normal for humanCV 2.81 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours23/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal60% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
12.33
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)15.7%
Mid (20-55c)23.1%
High (>55c)61.1%

Sessions

#12
4/7/2026, 10:50:49 PM18 trades$4,7297 min
4/7/2026, 10:43:57 PM18 trades$4,3312 min
5/17/2026, 4:11:09 PM10 trades$3,1048 min
5/14/2026, 3:12:57 AM35 trades$2,19114 min
5/15/2026, 6:45:27 AM43 trades$1,86613 min
9/6/2026, 6:34:24 AM13 trades$1,7131 min
6/11/2026, 7:35:52 PM5 trades$1,2531 min
9/8/2026, 6:13:00 AM9 trades$1,1873 min
5/15/2026, 5:57:55 AM30 trades$1,0929 min
5/17/2026, 5:07:10 PM1 trades$9520 min
6/8/2026, 7:16:33 AM32 trades$9386 min
3/26/2026, 6:04:53 AM1 trades$8980 min
5/16/2026, 4:15:44 AM1 trades$7600 min
7/13/2026, 3:38:19 PM15 trades$7376 min
4/7/2026, 6:10:53 AM10 trades$6834 min
4/7/2026, 9:28:37 PM13 trades$5159 min
4/7/2026, 9:42:51 PM22 trades$5126 min
4/2/2026, 4:49:27 PM2 trades$4500 min
4/7/2026, 4:05:09 PM10 trades$4296 min
4/24/2026, 9:38:46 AM20 trades$3863 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-30
12-11
03-02
04-07
05-14
06-08

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 1 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
32.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.33/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L15.7 / M23.1 / H61.1