@ourdemocracy

#20,09780

0x08c95f70b0565ee01fbb30705b61aa641616a2ef

~189d· 469 markets · 4665 tradesVol: $4,191,6252026-08-06 07:10:08
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

80
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

81% (335/413)20/20
1.31x (win $56,752 / loss $43,341)6.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.53315/15
Sortino 4.37110/10
$+0.0099 per $1 invested0.5/10
HHI 607 (413 markets)9.5/10
92/121 profitable days (76%)10/10
Max DD 26% of peak ($3,544 / $13,411)8.7/10

Badges

9
Sniper
Win rate 81%
Profitable
PnL $+6,761
DCA Master
Avg 10.8 entries/market
Whale
$1,352,183 invested
Consistent
92/121 profitable days
High Roller
$3,258/day
Cool Head
Max DD 26%
Win Streak
21 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
📈 ECONOMICS#1,561$2,847Vol: $3,148,109
🏛️ POLITICS#9,889$2,569Vol: $484,564
₿ CRYPTO#15,854$2,808Vol: $225,929
💰 FINANCE#6,443$537Vol: $181,605
🎭 CULTURE#814,709$-2,402Vol: $70,620
🌤️ WEATHER#278,908$-60Vol: $2,353
💻 TECH#12,206$23Vol: $1,944

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$6,763
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,191,625
Total Redeem
$1,142
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
469
total markets
Trades
2254B / 2411S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~189d

Periods

#2
Today
$-13
Vol: $0
Week
$4
Vol: $15,727
Month
$-75
Vol: $17,199
All Time
$6,763
Vol: $4,191,625

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
81%
335W / 78L events
Realized PnL
$6,761
Win Rate
81%
335W / 78L
Profit Factor
1.31x
Avg Win
$169
Avg Loss
$-619

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $29,337 (4.339451644681374% of PnL)

Top Winners

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$19,570
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?$5,365
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?$4,402
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$3,786
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?$3,659
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?$2,887
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$1,179
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?$1,114
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$637
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$613

Top Losers

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$-22,902
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?$-5,862
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?$-4,723
Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?$-2,913
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?$-1,316
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$-839
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?$-572
US military action against Iran by Saturday?$-395
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of January?$-394
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$-378

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.132
Sortino
0.122
HHI
934
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.010
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
25.1%
Top-5 markets
54.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
11.2
Active
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
43.3m
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.71
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
12 min
Avg Trades / Session
19.0

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 76s — normal for humanCV 2.71 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock11 trades/day — very active1.1 markets/day — normal60% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.75
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)10.6%
Mid (20-55c)3.3%
High (>55c)86.1%

Sessions

#12
6/18/2025, 12:21:32 PM48 trades$121,42251 min
6/18/2025, 6:23:14 AM69 trades$79,33154 min
9/5/2025, 1:40:02 PM37 trades$54,58722 min
6/17/2025, 9:33:56 PM14 trades$49,56718 min
7/27/2025, 5:32:19 PM7 trades$44,89710 min
6/18/2025, 11:43:48 AM23 trades$37,97526 min
7/26/2025, 3:20:26 PM4 trades$34,9917 min
6/17/2025, 2:57:26 PM11 trades$28,60016 min
6/18/2025, 11:11:28 AM24 trades$28,08318 min
6/18/2025, 1:41:30 PM12 trades$27,3107 min
4/13/2026, 7:20:43 PM95 trades$25,7528 min
9/10/2025, 5:17:29 PM52 trades$24,24964 min
6/17/2025, 4:36:49 PM21 trades$23,17838 min
4/12/2026, 1:55:41 AM70 trades$22,9413 min
6/17/2025, 10:00:08 PM9 trades$22,14623 min
9/11/2025, 1:56:01 AM4 trades$21,51812 min
9/5/2025, 1:10:02 PM1 trades$20,8660 min
4/8/2026, 1:59:13 AM124 trades$19,81016 min
7/27/2025, 2:38:29 PM29 trades$19,17231 min
6/18/2025, 11:36:12 AM4 trades$18,0702 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-18
08-06
10-06
12-26
02-24
05-01
07-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 1 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.75/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L10.6 / M3.3 / H86.1