@4moyears

#3,159,06126

0x09f653fc1f0ee37f9e4a562fefdc31e344eeb528

~13d· 6 markets · 125 tradesVol: $325,7052026-09-26 21:01:06
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

26
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

40% (2/5)5/20
1.98x (win $195 / loss $98)14.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$+0.0026 per $1 invested0.1/10
HHI 2499 (5 markets)0/10
2/5 profitable days (40%)2.5/10
Max DD 52% of peak ($50 / $96)3.5/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+96
Lottery Player
92% entries < $0.20

Categories

3
🎭 CULTURE#824,497$-22,380Vol: $307,185
🏛️ POLITICS#54,720$138Vol: $17,140
⚽ SPORTS#1,588,393$-41Vol: $1,379

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-22,283
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$325,705
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
6
total markets
Trades
26B / 99S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~13d

Periods

#2
Week
$-1,302
Vol: $153,593
Month
$-995
Vol: $153,593
All Time
$-22,283
Vol: $325,705

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
40%
2W / 3L events
Realized PnL
$96
Win Rate
40%
2W / 3L
Profit Factor
1.98x
Avg Win
$97
Avg Loss
$-33

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $195 (2.017633025619749% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Trump & Elon reduce the deficit in 2025? $117
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?$78

Top Losers

Will federal spending decrease by $750b-1t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?$-50
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the NFC South?$-41
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$-6

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.259
Sortino
0.826
HHI
1
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.160
Kelly %
19.5%
Half-Kelly
9.7%
Top-1 market
0.5%
Top-5 markets
1.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
12/24
Extended
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
62%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.58
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
17
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.4

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 248s — normal for humanCV 1.58 — diverse sizes (human-like)62% night trades — never sleeps12/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal14% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.6
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)92.3%
Mid (20-55c)3.8%
High (>55c)3.8%

Sessions

#12
4/3/2026, 7:08:31 AM2 trades$48,0890 min
4/5/2026, 4:48:27 AM26 trades$33,1680 min
4/5/2026, 5:05:27 AM2 trades$22,2230 min
4/9/2026, 6:37:33 AM24 trades$18,7880 min
9/23/2026, 3:48:41 AM43 trades$15,5230 min
4/9/2026, 6:52:25 AM2 trades$8,0320 min
4/3/2026, 7:31:29 AM5 trades$6,0710 min
4/3/2026, 4:41:01 AM3 trades$1,2650 min
10/3/2025, 11:48:21 PM9 trades$36712 min
6/5/2025, 4:36:56 PM2 trades$2160 min
7/31/2025, 11:55:40 AM1 trades$2000 min
10/3/2025, 11:38:19 PM1 trades$1590 min
3/8/2025, 7:17:15 PM1 trades$1500 min
3/10/2025, 2:49:25 PM1 trades$1000 min
3/11/2025, 6:09:25 AM1 trades$1000 min
8/23/2025, 1:29:17 AM1 trades$100 min
9/8/2025, 11:59:38 PM1 trades$40 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-10
06-05
09-08
10-03
10-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
79.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.6/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L92.3 / M3.8 / H3.8