@nicholsjanice

#627,36356

0x0a9784f1b756c7a0dd680c7c51165aaa1e0f2e41

~38d· 45 markets · 65 tradesVol: $7,8902026-10-03 01:41:30
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

56
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

91% (40/44)20/20
1.06x (win $13 / loss $12)3.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.4207.9/15
Sortino 0.4724.7/10
$+0.0002 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 313 (44 markets)10/10
32/36 profitable days (89%)10/10
Max DD 209% of peak ($5 / $2)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 91%
Profitable
PnL $+2
Consistent
32/36 profitable days
Win Streak
20 wins in a row

Categories

5
₿ CRYPTO#782,007$-0Vol: $7,438
🏛️ POLITICS#306,303$1Vol: $345
💰 FINANCE#134,419$1Vol: $66
💻 TECH#95,410$0Vol: $22
📈 ECONOMICS#199,325$0Vol: $20

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$7,890
Total Redeem
$362
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
45
total markets
Trades
48B / 17S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~38d

Periods

#2
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$2
Vol: $22
All Time
$2
Vol: $7,890

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
91%
39W / 4L events
Realized PnL
$2
Win Rate
91%
39W / 4L
Profit Factor
1.06x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-4

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6 (2.460526315789474% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?$2
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by April 30, 2026?$2
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?$2
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by April 30?$1
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by March 31, 2026?$1
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $312 in September?$1
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?$1
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$0
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 31?$0
Will Ethereum reach $5600 in September?$0

Top Losers

Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?$-4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 9?$-4
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?$-4

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.022
Sortino
0.012
HHI
324
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.000
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.7%
Top-5 markets
20.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.0h
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.66
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
47
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.4

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 3654s — normal for humanCV 0.66 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern15/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal22% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.48
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.1%
Mid (20-55c)6.2%
High (>55c)91.7%

Sessions

#12
7/15/2026, 10:34:29 AM3 trades$2160 min
5/11/2026, 6:12:10 PM5 trades$1660 min
12/29/2025, 11:03:07 AM1 trades$1290 min
12/19/2025, 12:07:04 PM1 trades$1280 min
11/22/2025, 2:06:25 PM1 trades$1260 min
11/14/2025, 8:16:30 AM1 trades$1260 min
12/26/2025, 6:09:07 PM1 trades$1250 min
10/20/2025, 9:50:25 AM1 trades$1250 min
11/7/2025, 10:35:59 AM1 trades$1240 min
3/6/2026, 2:58:57 PM1 trades$1240 min
12/6/2025, 10:27:51 AM1 trades$1230 min
11/25/2025, 11:53:05 AM1 trades$1230 min
10/29/2025, 2:53:59 PM1 trades$1210 min
2/25/2026, 2:03:02 PM1 trades$1210 min
2/20/2026, 12:06:46 PM1 trades$1210 min
3/30/2026, 10:06:14 AM1 trades$1200 min
3/26/2026, 4:11:59 PM1 trades$1200 min
10/6/2025, 2:08:59 PM1 trades$1190 min
10/27/2025, 1:35:57 PM1 trades$1170 min
9/25/2025, 6:11:46 AM1 trades$1140 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-19
10-24
11-25
01-16
02-25
04-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 112 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
26.2% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.48/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.1 / M6.2 / H91.7