Musck

@Musck

#2,919,94057

0x0d6ab57eb21362542de620e0c9c9af8968d598e4

~7d· 25 markets · 321 tradesVol: $27,7692026-10-04 18:21:59
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

57
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

67% (2/3)18.3/20
21.70x (win $219 / loss $10)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$+0.0802 per $1 invested4/10
HHI 3962 (3 markets)0/10
2/3 profitable days (67%)9.2/10
Max DD 5% of peak ($10 / $219)10/10

Badges

2
Consistent
2/3 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 5%

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#1,542,297$-114Vol: $18,231
💰 FINANCE#653,747$-241Vol: $5,345
📈 ECONOMICS#657,278$-42Vol: $2,656
⚽ SPORTS#1,470,510$-19Vol: $681
₿ CRYPTO#1,379,131$-40Vol: $666
🎭 CULTURE#682,196$-9Vol: $191

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-466
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$27,769
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
25
total markets
Trades
69B / 252S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~7d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$-331
Vol: $26,792
All Time
$-466
Vol: $27,769

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
100%
2W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$-337
Win Rate
100%
2W / 0L
Profit Factor
21.69x
Avg Win
$109
Avg Loss
$-10

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $219 (0.648344154881556% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Stephen Root – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a comedy series?$157
Will Viking FK win on 2026-05-30?$61

Top Losers

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?$-10

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.828
Sortino
inf
HHI
28
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.911
Kelly %
63.9%
Half-Kelly
32.0%
Top-1 market
3.8%
Top-5 markets
8.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.06
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
26
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.3

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 83s — normal for humanCV 1.07 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern16/24 hours — normal schedule6 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal21% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.33
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)24.6%
Mid (20-55c)21.7%
High (>55c)53.6%

Sessions

#12
9/12/2026, 6:57:52 PM23 trades$5,3503 min
9/14/2026, 1:08:27 PM4 trades$3,0240 min
9/14/2026, 3:16:27 PM37 trades$1,4356 min
9/15/2026, 10:15:28 AM95 trades$1,3993 min
9/14/2026, 1:14:21 PM27 trades$1,2659 min
9/14/2026, 3:37:12 PM18 trades$5160 min
9/11/2026, 6:14:42 AM5 trades$2990 min
9/12/2026, 6:40:34 PM18 trades$2890 min
9/11/2026, 4:23:22 AM15 trades$2696 min
9/15/2026, 5:56:57 AM6 trades$2370 min
9/14/2026, 3:44:49 PM5 trades$1930 min
9/11/2026, 4:15:48 AM5 trades$1790 min
7/21/2026, 8:49:45 AM5 trades$1543 min
7/21/2026, 5:47:21 PM4 trades$1391 min
7/22/2026, 9:37:27 AM10 trades$1350 min
9/13/2026, 10:49:34 PM7 trades$1340 min
9/13/2026, 8:59:52 PM4 trades$803 min
9/13/2026, 7:02:15 PM4 trades$793 min
9/15/2026, 5:11:51 AM4 trades$760 min
9/11/2026, 2:10:43 PM2 trades$710 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
2026-05-30 14:00:00
2026-09-14 20:00:00
2026-09-30 23:59:00

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
78.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.33/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L24.6 / M21.7 / H53.6