@0x1231…796f

51

0x12313aa6965395261f8cb1d11e1fa9d95632796f

~15d· 31 markets · 262 trades2026-10-08 02:57:23
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

51
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

18% (5/28)0/20
1.99x (win $1,748 / loss $878)14.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.09515/15
Sortino 9.71010/10
$+0.0726 per $1 invested3.6/10
HHI 2252 (28 markets)1.2/10
4/11 profitable days (36%)1.6/10
Max DD 48% of peak ($818 / $1,688)4.3/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+731
Lottery Player
39% entries < $0.20

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$731
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$11,988
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
31
total markets
Trades
61B / 201S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~15d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
18%
5W / 23L events
Realized PnL
$731
Win Rate
18%
5W / 23L
Profit Factor
1.99x
Avg Win
$350
Avg Loss
$-46

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,656 (2.2655219592283484% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$1,049
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in October?$384
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?$223
Xi Jinping out in 2025?$60
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 6?$32

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 6?$-200
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 5?$-178
Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-100
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 5?$-89
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 5?$-66
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 6?$-56
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 5?$-38
Was the shooter a Democrat or Republican?$-28
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 4?$-28
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 5?$-26

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.204
Sortino
0.451
HHI
2519
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.088
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
45.1%
Top-5 markets
78.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
37%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.62
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
35
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.5

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 229s — normal for humanCV 3.62 — diverse sizes (human-like)37% night trades — never sleeps15/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal21% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.5
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)39.3%
Mid (20-55c)21.3%
High (>55c)39.3%

Sessions

#12
10/15/2025, 6:50:59 AM1 trades$4,9940 min
10/15/2025, 5:38:33 AM1 trades$2,2990 min
11/6/2024, 7:19:59 AM1 trades$2,2910 min
10/30/2025, 5:04:41 AM1 trades$2,1180 min
9/22/2026, 12:50:10 PM31 trades$1,9841 min
7/14/2024, 5:28:16 AM1 trades$1,2420 min
9/23/2026, 2:23:00 PM15 trades$8290 min
10/27/2025, 7:53:23 AM2 trades$4551 min
6/5/2026, 5:10:24 PM3 trades$3980 min
6/4/2026, 3:32:36 PM6 trades$3490 min
6/5/2026, 2:49:07 AM26 trades$3106 min
6/5/2026, 5:39:57 AM20 trades$3024 min
6/5/2026, 10:17:37 AM16 trades$2780 min
6/6/2026, 6:49:27 PM13 trades$2640 min
6/5/2026, 3:20:19 AM16 trades$2440 min
5/6/2026, 9:19:24 AM10 trades$2361 min
6/4/2026, 4:42:36 PM4 trades$2080 min
6/5/2026, 10:24:01 AM3 trades$2000 min
6/5/2026, 4:17:22 AM17 trades$1720 min
5/6/2026, 9:09:28 AM12 trades$1702 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-14
11-06
10-27
10-30
05-06
05-30
06-02
06-04
06-05
06-06
06-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 52 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
75% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
76.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.5/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L39.3 / M21.3 / H39.3