@Bitcoinchadwins

#3,060,9854

0x15e6ddfd2fa2e656e64e6fab9b04866618f83c2b

~58d· 23 markets · 611 tradesVol: $1,070,4052026-08-06 06:16:26
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

4
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

28% (5/18)0/20
0.65x (win $4,188 / loss $6,404)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.6490/15
Sortino -3.3270/10
$-0.0402 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1881 (18 markets)3.1/10
5/15 profitable days (33%)0.8/10
Max DD 158% of peak ($6,019 / $3,803)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
53% entries < $0.20
Whale
$55,084 invested

Categories

3
🏛️ POLITICS#1,625,156$-1,852Vol: $604,389
₿ CRYPTO#1,673,087$-7,535Vol: $445,756
⚽ SPORTS#1,807,994$-622Vol: $20,260

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-10,008
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,070,405
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
23
total markets
Trades
120B / 491S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~58d

Periods

#2
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-10,008
Vol: $1,070,405

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
28%
5W / 13L events
Realized PnL
$-10,008
Win Rate
28%
5W / 13L
Profit Factor
0.65x
Avg Win
$838
Avg Loss
$-493

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,713 (0.37098079574748705% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?$2,407
Miami vs. Ole Miss$691
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?$615
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?$296
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in February?$179

Top Losers

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March?$-2,458
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$-862
Trump out as President by June 30?$-808
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?$-574
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?$-484
Government shutdown on Saturday?$-371
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?$-178
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$-174
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?$-174
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?$-150

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.134
Sortino
-0.164
HHI
490
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.061
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.6%
Top-5 markets
43.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.7h
between trades
Night Trading
37%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.79
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.0

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 155s — normal for humanCV 1.79 — diverse sizes (human-like)37% night trades — never sleeps20/24 hours — extended activity3 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal7% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.22
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)53.3%
Mid (20-55c)35.8%
High (>55c)10.8%

Sessions

#12
7/16/2026, 11:49:04 PM104 trades$120,4963 min
7/23/2026, 5:59:58 AM76 trades$54,9920 min
7/20/2026, 4:20:21 AM51 trades$54,0830 min
6/13/2026, 7:41:03 PM27 trades$38,8070 min
7/23/2026, 5:30:28 PM85 trades$33,4140 min
7/21/2026, 5:13:18 AM29 trades$26,7100 min
7/22/2026, 6:07:34 AM18 trades$21,3980 min
7/17/2026, 3:58:04 PM22 trades$11,2630 min
2/4/2026, 9:36:56 AM3 trades$5,4171 min
2/2/2026, 5:40:58 AM1 trades$5,0740 min
2/3/2026, 7:47:50 PM2 trades$4,9321 min
2/3/2026, 7:18:02 PM1 trades$4,6140 min
1/26/2026, 4:34:25 PM1 trades$4,3630 min
2/1/2026, 8:53:58 PM1 trades$4,1790 min
1/25/2026, 9:01:56 PM1 trades$4,1490 min
1/26/2026, 8:59:55 AM1 trades$4,1490 min
2/1/2026, 6:57:32 PM1 trades$4,0000 min
2/1/2026, 9:04:34 PM1 trades$4,0000 min
2/2/2026, 6:08:14 AM1 trades$4,0000 min
1/9/2026, 4:03:38 PM2 trades$2,1301 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-08
01-26
02-01
02-04
02-21
03-02
04-27
07-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 131 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
80.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.22/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L53.3 / M35.8 / H10.8