@nergnallh

#2,671,2009

0x18b8a00bd4e526eada07d729054aef7545f31a4c

~25d· 18 markets · 121 tradesVol: $7,1952026-09-26 06:18:08
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

9
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

45% (5/11)7.7/20
0.22x (win $83 / loss $382)0/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$-0.1189 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2943 (11 markets)0/10
2/6 profitable days (33%)0.8/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($302 / $0)0/10

Badges

4
Lottery Player
31% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 5.7 entries/market
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#1,561,501$-171Vol: $6,075
🎭 CULTURE#36,655$35Vol: $734
💰 FINANCE#0$0Vol: $256
📈 ECONOMICS#47,696$8Vol: $116
₿ CRYPTO#893,090$-2Vol: $14

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-130
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$7,195
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
18
total markets
Trades
77B / 44S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~25d

Periods

#2
Today
$8
Vol: $0
Week
$-27
Vol: $0
Month
$-245
Vol: $2,170
All Time
$-130
Vol: $7,195

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
45%
5W / 6L events
Realized PnL
$-130
Win Rate
45%
5W / 6L
Profit Factor
0.22x
Avg Win
$17
Avg Loss
$-76

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $83 (0.6379709697344039% of PnL)

Top Winners

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$47
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?$33
Will Tidö parties win a majority in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections?$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$0

Top Losers

Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win at least 20% of all valid votes?$-308
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$-70
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$-2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$-1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.427
Sortino
-0.351
HHI
559
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.281
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
20.6%
Top-5 markets
40.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
25.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.5h
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.52
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.4

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1524s — normal for humanCV 1.52 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours22/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal48% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.73
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)31.2%
Mid (20-55c)24.7%
High (>55c)44.2%

Sessions

#12
9/7/2026, 9:01:42 PM8 trades$8805 min
9/13/2026, 4:15:33 PM13 trades$4723 min
3/19/2026, 9:12:59 PM2 trades$2824 min
4/3/2026, 12:26:39 AM9 trades$2170 min
6/18/2026, 10:43:14 PM4 trades$1741 min
7/21/2026, 5:45:15 PM5 trades$1451 min
9/13/2026, 4:24:01 PM11 trades$1330 min
3/23/2026, 2:49:17 PM2 trades$1300 min
3/23/2026, 2:19:27 PM2 trades$1160 min
7/1/2026, 1:57:46 PM2 trades$1160 min
4/3/2026, 5:18:51 PM1 trades$1070 min
3/19/2026, 12:02:03 PM1 trades$1000 min
4/3/2026, 2:08:55 PM1 trades$830 min
5/19/2026, 6:04:57 AM1 trades$520 min
3/20/2026, 1:16:31 PM2 trades$493 min
5/18/2026, 7:41:29 PM1 trades$350 min
9/13/2026, 5:14:54 PM3 trades$352 min
5/5/2026, 9:36:02 AM5 trades$330 min
4/1/2026, 9:02:43 PM1 trades$330 min
3/23/2026, 2:01:01 PM2 trades$323 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-20
03-24
06-18
07-01
09-13
09-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.73/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L31.2 / M24.7 / H44.2