@NotaForecaster
#19,933730x1b31372b2f050a8a21a694005c13d3599846852c
~81d· 607 markets · 5332 tradesVol: $445,3022026-10-03 19:31:37
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
73
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
47% (286/607)8.6/20
1.57x (win $10,853 / loss $6,925)9.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.64715/15
Sortino 9.75610/10
$+0.0387 per $1 invested1.9/10
HHI 69 (607 markets)10/10
49/79 profitable days (62%)8/10
Max DD 13% of peak ($580 / $4,311)10/10
Badges
8Profitable
PnL $+6,487
Lottery Player
41% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 8.8 entries/market
Whale
$101,462 invested
Consistent
49/79 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 13%
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
6🌤️ WEATHER#308$6,739Vol: $443,353
🏛️ POLITICS#105,940$36Vol: $1,264
⚽ SPORTS#199,080$30Vol: $400
📢 MENTIONS#16,121$16Vol: $148
🎭 CULTURE#453,766$-0Vol: $72
₿ CRYPTO#985,317$-4Vol: $30
Overview
#1Net PnL
$6,817
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$445,302
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
607
total markets
Trades
2916B / 2416S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~81d
Periods
#2Today
$-111
Vol: $443
Week
$363
Vol: $8,972
Month
$634
Vol: $30,790
All Time
$6,817
Vol: $445,302
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
47%
286W / 321L events
Realized PnL
$6,487
Win Rate
47%
286W / 321L
Profit Factor
1.57x
Avg Win
$38
Avg Loss
$-22
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,384 (0.21329206028167622% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 2?$600
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on March 21?$397
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?$387
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 4?$298
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on April 2?$274
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on March 18?$270
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on March 28?$257
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 10?$247
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on March 19?$219
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 25?$218
Top Losers
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on April 2?$-701
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 3?$-600
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 2?$-563
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 3?$-361
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 30?$-249
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on March 9?$-247
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on May 3?$-203
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 10?$-191
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 2?$-160
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on April 2?$-160
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.294
Sortino
0.366
HHI
74
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.039
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.1%
Top-5 markets
9.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
28.8
Active
Markets / Day
3.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
26.4m
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.65
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.9
Bot Detection
#635
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 174s — normal for humanCV 2.66 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock29 trades/day — high frequency3.3 markets/day — normal63% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 15:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
8.78
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)41.4%
Mid (20-55c)8.8%
High (>55c)49.8%
Sessions
#124/2/2026, 7:28:51 AM92 trades$3,5778 min
4/1/2026, 1:53:45 AM36 trades$2,72711 min
3/23/2026, 4:50:29 PM14 trades$2,35112 min
5/3/2026, 4:56:52 PM25 trades$2,3481 min
3/25/2026, 3:24:55 AM11 trades$2,12010 min
5/9/2026, 11:50:14 AM6 trades$2,0762 min
5/11/2026, 2:04:43 AM11 trades$1,8485 min
4/4/2026, 3:26:55 AM30 trades$1,8388 min
3/24/2026, 2:57:51 PM31 trades$1,81632 min
3/27/2026, 6:46:35 PM6 trades$1,7800 min
3/19/2026, 8:17:15 AM61 trades$1,77423 min
3/30/2026, 6:51:47 PM5 trades$1,4880 min
3/4/2026, 4:27:27 AM11 trades$1,48119 min
3/22/2026, 3:24:25 PM16 trades$1,43821 min
3/13/2026, 6:03:45 AM6 trades$1,3534 min
4/28/2026, 1:22:20 AM37 trades$1,34215 min
3/5/2026, 8:38:51 AM2 trades$1,2993 min
3/29/2026, 4:38:08 PM7 trades$1,2365 min
3/12/2026, 7:33:19 AM3 trades$1,2222 min
3/12/2026, 7:47:51 AM3 trades$1,2192 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-28
03-13
03-26
04-26
05-09
07-20
08-31
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 86 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
45.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.78/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L41.4 / M8.8 / H49.8