@swisstony

#173

0x204f72f35326db932158cba6adff0b9a1da95e14

~351d· 45251 markets · 6128195 tradesVol: $1,763,623,8692026-08-05 16:16:22
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

73
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

58% (76072/130710)14.1/20
1.15x (win $302,051,733 / loss $262,723,339)4.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.12415/15
Sortino 2.32610/10
$+2.9716 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 3 (130710 markets)10/10
139/300 profitable days (46%)4.1/10
Max DD 45% of peak ($8,682,093 / $19,234,146)5/10

Badges

8
Profitable
PnL $+22,924,523
Contrarian
55% entries < $0.55
Diamond Hands
0% sells
DCA Master
Avg 91.1 entries/market
Whale
$13,234,869 invested
High Roller
$36,969/day
Win Streak
19 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

1
SPORTS#1$22,924,740Vol: $1,763,619,784

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$22,924,728
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,763,623,869
Total Redeem
$19,578,510
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
45251
total markets
Trades
93302B / 29521S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~351d

Periods

#2
Today
$43,420
Vol: $835,539
Week
$104,254
Vol: $9,386,574
Month
$357,834
Vol: $13,842,033
All Time
$22,924,728
Vol: $1,763,623,869

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
58%
76057W / 54617L events
Realized PnL
$22,924,523
Win Rate
58%
76057W / 54617L
Profit Factor
1.15x
Avg Win
$3,971
Avg Loss
$-4,834

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $8,932,107 (0.38963110735493944% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$3,140,965
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?$3,080,533
Spread: England (-1.5)$2,710,610
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?$2,636,754
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)$2,249,539
Will England win on 2026-06-23?$2,053,647
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$2,015,470
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?$1,666,764
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?$1,664,888
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?$1,658,987

Top Losers

Spread: Argentina (-1.5)$-3,200,399
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?$-2,110,397
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?$-1,740,872
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$-1,509,738
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?$-1,483,666
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$-1,375,951
Spread: France (-2.5)$-1,187,440
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?$-1,172,159
Morocco vs. Haiti: Morocco O/U 2.5$-1,080,682
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5$-1,010,338

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.059
Sortino
0.101
HHI
22991
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.029
Kelly %
5.2%
Half-Kelly
2.6%
Top-1 market
21%
Top-5 markets
99.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
17117.9
Very active
Markets / Day
126.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
5.5m
between trades
Night Trading
1%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.80
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
76 min
Avg Trades / Session
74.3

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 104s — normal for humanCV 5.80 — diverse sizes (human-like)1% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock17118 trades/day — automation126 markets/day — mass coverage1% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
91.09
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)10.7%
Mid (20-55c)44.4%
High (>55c)44.8%

Sessions

#12
3/7/2026, 1:55:57 PM234 trades$52,495209 min
1/12/2026, 7:54:53 PM4 trades$49,7064 min
3/20/2026, 2:12:39 PM1 trades$44,5530 min
2/21/2026, 3:27:16 PM281 trades$43,986278 min
11/1/2025, 9:13:21 PM3 trades$39,2755 min
3/11/2026, 7:32:27 PM91 trades$33,21878 min
2/7/2026, 1:35:47 PM151 trades$31,584149 min
1/28/2026, 7:48:34 PM142 trades$31,401125 min
3/1/2026, 3:45:53 PM135 trades$31,067140 min
3/1/2026, 2:10:43 PM139 trades$28,92090 min
2/15/2026, 12:26:11 PM39 trades$28,78839 min
3/17/2026, 4:37:25 PM16 trades$25,96428 min
3/21/2026, 10:59:39 AM165 trades$25,767201 min
3/20/2026, 12:47:17 PM9 trades$25,48816 min
1/31/2026, 9:29:12 PM2 trades$23,2631 min
1/31/2026, 3:34:36 PM76 trades$20,97375 min
2/8/2026, 3:16:33 PM19 trades$20,50424 min
1/21/2026, 7:10:56 PM20 trades$20,23631 min
2/1/2026, 9:11:54 PM5 trades$19,0765 min
3/11/2026, 8:54:57 PM65 trades$18,57450 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
2026-05-02 18:30:00
2026-05-10 13:00:00
2026-05-19 18:30:00
2026-06-10 19:45:00
2026-06-19 22:00:00
2026-06-30 21:00:00

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 91.09/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L10.7 / M44.4 / H44.8