Haradwaith

@Haradwaith

#3,076,71728

0x21ffd2b7a212a6f277ed3eca1a9f8efcbca90d71

~600d· 12462 markets · 1409539 tradesVol: $110,614,2832026-08-06 05:30:01
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

28
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

52% (5855/11189)11.2/20
0.92x (win $125,464 / loss $135,745)1.6/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.9500/15
Sortino -1.1450/10
$-0.0129 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 6 (11189 markets)10/10
251/500 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 1503% of peak ($14,881 / $990)0/10

Badges

5
Diamond Hands
1% sells
Whale
$799,474 invested
High Roller
$1,283/day
Win Streak
13 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,642,895$-101,898Vol: $47,843,493
SPORTS#1,880,325$-14,358Vol: $15,081,761
🎭 CULTURE#817,416$-18,691Vol: $14,146,078
🌤️ WEATHER#299,774$-32,546Vol: $9,189,109
💰 FINANCE#659,092$-39,867Vol: $7,593,987
CRYPTO#1,672,274$-6,981Vol: $7,221,164
📈 ECONOMICS#683,399$-16,360Vol: $5,112,938
💻 TECH#259,457$-6,212Vol: $2,197,558
📢 MENTIONS#176,582$-2,946Vol: $276,748

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-245,024
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$110,614,283
Total Redeem
$367
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
12462
total markets
Trades
14948B / 13391S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~600d

Periods

#2
Today
$-515
Vol: $59,841
Week
$-7,975
Vol: $1,522,544
Month
$-10,777
Vol: $1,923,914
All Time
$-245,024
Vol: $110,614,283

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
65%
26053W / 14278L events
Realized PnL
$-244,681
Win Rate
65%
26053W / 14278L
Profit Factor
0.92x
Avg Win
$21
Avg Loss
$-26

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,012 (0.01639800393164978% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Trump visit China by March 31?$1,419
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$1,324
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$1,270
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$1,032
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$946
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$864
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$819
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$794
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?$794
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$780

Top Losers

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$-3,524
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$-1,738
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?$-1,470
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-1,387
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$-1,192
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$-1,187
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$-1,069
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$-1,022
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$-944
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$-926

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.050
Sortino
-0.049
HHI
9
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.013
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.7%
Top-5 markets
3.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2262.5
Very active
Markets / Day
20.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
13.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
32.7m
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.83
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.3

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 826s — normal for humanCV 1.83 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock2263 trades/day — automation20 markets/day — mass coverage2% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.4
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)10.4%
Mid (20-55c)10.3%
High (>55c)79.3%

Sessions

#12
7/6/2026, 11:45:17 AM1 trades$2,6040 min
7/19/2026, 7:01:40 AM1 trades$2,1360 min
6/24/2026, 3:47:19 AM2 trades$1,9553 min
1/5/2026, 6:22:33 AM2 trades$1,9481 min
4/28/2026, 12:54:24 PM10 trades$1,8730 min
8/5/2026, 12:39:12 AM1 trades$1,6980 min
7/12/2026, 2:59:59 PM4 trades$1,6309 min
2/16/2026, 9:12:19 AM1 trades$1,4480 min
5/4/2026, 5:14:48 PM2 trades$1,4292 min
10/28/2025, 8:19:47 PM1 trades$1,3370 min
10/13/2025, 7:45:49 PM1 trades$1,3200 min
7/7/2026, 4:18:07 PM3 trades$1,2880 min
10/21/2025, 8:01:27 PM1 trades$1,2050 min
6/7/2026, 8:11:04 AM1 trades$1,1820 min
7/29/2026, 5:39:11 AM1 trades$1,1720 min
7/20/2026, 6:30:37 AM2 trades$1,1211 min
4/2/2026, 6:22:29 AM6 trades$1,1215 min
5/6/2026, 8:52:06 AM2 trades$1,1153 min
6/15/2026, 7:23:57 AM2 trades$1,0671 min
6/6/2026, 9:12:12 PM4 trades$1,0318 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-22
06-13
09-06
11-28
02-19
05-13
08-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 371 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.4/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L10.4 / M10.3 / H79.3