Haradwaith

@Haradwaith

#3,185,47128

0x21ffd2b7a212a6f277ed3eca1a9f8efcbca90d71

~661d· 14362 markets · 1616996 tradesVol: $131,009,0712026-10-06 05:49:49
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

28
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

53% (6596/12458)11.5/20
0.92x (win $140,914 / loss $152,448)1.6/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.0160/15
Sortino -1.2270/10
$-0.0119 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 6 (12458 markets)10/10
249/500 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 2407% of peak ($15,056 / $626)0/10

Badges

5
Diamond Hands
1% sells
Whale
$967,971 invested
High Roller
$1,415/day
Win Streak
15 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,657,908$-111,669Vol: $56,904,430
⚽ SPORTS#13,481$3,363Vol: $17,350,394
🎭 CULTURE#827,096$-31,027Vol: $15,234,943
🌤️ WEATHER#305,403$-71,112Vol: $13,267,693
💰 FINANCE#669,000$-50,341Vol: $8,818,895
₿ CRYPTO#1,732,753$-12,874Vol: $7,940,086
📈 ECONOMICS#700,539$-25,476Vol: $6,174,131
💻 TECH#274,536$-6,146Vol: $2,737,510
📢 MENTIONS#182,035$-4,606Vol: $339,989

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-314,581
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$131,009,071
Total Redeem
$367
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
14362
total markets
Trades
18998B / 13421S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~661d

Periods

#2
Today
$-441
Vol: $82,736
Week
$-150,111
Vol: $2,962,109
Month
$-348,262
Vol: $11,535,108
All Time
$-314,581
Vol: $131,009,071

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
64%
27989W / 15932L events
Realized PnL
$-314,581
Win Rate
64%
27989W / 15932L
Profit Factor
0.92x
Avg Win
$21
Avg Loss
$-26

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,151 (0.013195043985334269% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Trump visit China by March 31?$1,419
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?$1,408
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$1,324
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$1,270
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$1,154
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$1,032
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$946
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$864
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$819
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$794

Top Losers

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$-3,524
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$-2,073
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$-1,738
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?$-1,470
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-1,387
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$-1,192
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$-1,187
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$-1,161
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$-1,069
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$-1,022

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.053
Sortino
-0.053
HHI
8
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.013
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.6%
Top-5 markets
2.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2364.0
Very active
Markets / Day
21.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
14.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
31.7m
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.02
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.2

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 842s — normal for humanCV 2.02 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock2364 trades/day — automation21 markets/day — mass coverage2% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.41
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.4%
Mid (20-55c)9.5%
High (>55c)81.1%

Sessions

#12
7/6/2026, 11:45:17 AM1 trades$2,6040 min
7/19/2026, 7:01:40 AM1 trades$2,1360 min
10/2/2026, 11:46:56 PM2 trades$1,9810 min
8/12/2026, 8:49:40 AM3 trades$1,9723 min
6/24/2026, 3:47:19 AM2 trades$1,9553 min
9/29/2026, 4:43:06 PM3 trades$1,9485 min
1/5/2026, 6:22:33 AM2 trades$1,9481 min
8/27/2026, 10:24:04 AM1 trades$1,9060 min
4/28/2026, 12:54:24 PM10 trades$1,8730 min
9/24/2026, 9:24:20 PM3 trades$1,7192 min
8/5/2026, 12:39:12 AM1 trades$1,6980 min
7/12/2026, 2:59:59 PM4 trades$1,6309 min
9/29/2026, 7:12:32 PM3 trades$1,5800 min
8/23/2026, 4:27:39 AM1 trades$1,4940 min
8/23/2026, 3:09:09 AM2 trades$1,4622 min
2/16/2026, 9:12:19 AM1 trades$1,4480 min
5/4/2026, 5:14:48 PM2 trades$1,4292 min
9/13/2026, 3:16:09 AM1 trades$1,4270 min
9/30/2026, 10:36:35 AM2 trades$1,3624 min
10/28/2025, 8:19:47 PM1 trades$1,3370 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-22
08-15
11-06
01-28
04-21
07-13
10-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 383 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.41/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9.4 / M9.5 / H81.1