GoodDealBro

@GoodDealBro

#3,181,01426

0x245e93fb7a6f2ff65b747fd182b4e0da3a93183c

~124d· 83 markets · 3735 tradesVol: $1,497,6052026-10-08 01:20:17
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

26
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

51% (31/61)10.4/20
0.41x (win $28,229 / loss $68,066)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.1800/15
Sortino -4.2690/10
$-0.2057 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 381 (61 markets)10/10
22/42 profitable days (52%)5.6/10
Max DD 609% of peak ($51,084 / $8,395)0/10

Badges

6
Lottery Player
68% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 37.5 entries/market
Whale
$193,695 invested
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
98% maker orders

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#1,657,604$-31,383Vol: $857,930
📈 ECONOMICS#890$6,400Vol: $459,642
₿ CRYPTO#34,389$731Vol: $160,997
💰 FINANCE#10,464$262Vol: $12,000
💻 TECH#1,699$843Vol: $7,035

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-23,147
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,497,605
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
83
total markets
Trades
2729B / 1006S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~124d

Periods

#2
Today
$-788
Vol: $0
Week
$186
Vol: $6,964
Month
$1,814
Vol: $13,653
All Time
$-23,147
Vol: $1,497,605

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
51%
31W / 30L events
Realized PnL
$-19,891
Win Rate
51%
31W / 30L
Profit Factor
0.41x
Avg Win
$911
Avg Loss
$-2,269

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $12,890 (0.6480496471728582% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$5,445
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$4,125
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$3,320
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$2,215
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$2,090
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$1,605
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1,100
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?$1,064
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$1,034
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?$936

Top Losers

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$-11,205
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$-10,178
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-9,115
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$-6,341
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$-5,571
Will Trump visit China by May 31?$-3,925
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-3,426
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$-3,342
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$-2,250
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$-2,015

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.216
Sortino
-0.176
HHI
405
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.201
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.6%
Top-5 markets
34.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
16.0
Active
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
33.3m
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.67
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.3

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 138s — normal for humanCV 5.67 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock16 trades/day — very active0.4 markets/day — normal98% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
37.46
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)68%
Mid (20-55c)19.9%
High (>55c)12.1%

Sessions

#12
1/30/2026, 9:31:46 AM50 trades$11,23921 min
2/28/2026, 9:47:39 AM1 trades$10,2170 min
2/12/2026, 9:43:51 AM1 trades$8,5000 min
2/10/2026, 6:17:01 PM1 trades$7,5200 min
3/30/2026, 1:31:41 PM1 trades$6,6600 min
3/31/2026, 8:28:07 AM2 trades$6,6430 min
4/8/2026, 5:18:21 PM1 trades$6,2510 min
2/23/2026, 8:04:50 AM2 trades$5,8332 min
2/23/2026, 8:50:08 AM12 trades$5,5645 min
2/24/2026, 12:56:20 PM8 trades$5,4608 min
2/5/2026, 8:06:45 PM1 trades$4,6000 min
3/3/2026, 10:38:17 AM1 trades$4,4110 min
2/22/2026, 11:07:20 AM10 trades$4,3724 min
1/29/2026, 11:54:32 AM18 trades$4,19528 min
3/1/2026, 11:15:17 PM1 trades$3,7630 min
4/14/2026, 5:49:38 PM7 trades$3,64612 min
1/29/2026, 12:50:20 PM3 trades$3,6149 min
2/3/2026, 9:08:52 PM1 trades$3,2000 min
2/1/2026, 6:08:34 PM5 trades$3,1164 min
1/28/2026, 12:01:15 PM2 trades$3,0663 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-16
02-01
02-21
03-03
04-14
05-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 104 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
26.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 37.46/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L68 / M19.9 / H12.1