@aiwar

#2,970,35191

0x277e6718cdf00f4f887d17589895ae031a337d32

~178d· 240 markets · 4174 tradesVol: $831,4812026-08-06 06:10:51
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

91
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

72% (149/206)20/20
2.21x (win $50,170 / loss $22,681)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.90115/15
Sortino 6.81410/10
$+0.0592 per $1 invested3/10
HHI 361 (206 markets)10/10
64/87 profitable days (74%)10/10
Max DD 29% of peak ($7,870 / $27,489)8.3/10

Badges

9
Sniper
Win rate 72%
Profitable
PnL $+745
DCA Master
Avg 12.7 entries/market
Whale
$464,315 invested
Consistent
64/87 profitable days
High Roller
$1,720/day
Cool Head
Max DD 29%
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
CRYPTO#14,055$3,245Vol: $267,177
🏛️ POLITICS#11,292$2,083Vol: $219,869
💰 FINANCE#658,838$-11,595Vol: $172,351
📈 ECONOMICS#1,660$2,586Vol: $149,401
SPORTS#30,308$1,403Vol: $10,700
💻 TECH#2,709$372Vol: $5,000
🎭 CULTURE#9,685$361Vol: $2,600
🌤️ WEATHER#281,534$-73Vol: $2,000

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,486
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$831,481
Total Redeem
$5,722
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
240
total markets
Trades
2701B / 1473S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~178d

Periods

#2
Today
$-507
Vol: $0
Week
$-554
Vol: $7,827
Month
$-2,262
Vol: $20,917
All Time
$-1,486
Vol: $831,481

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
72%
149W / 57L events
Realized PnL
$745
Win Rate
72%
149W / 57L
Profit Factor
2.21x
Avg Win
$337
Avg Loss
$-412

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $8,685 (11.651939409389128% of PnL)

Top Winners

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$4,030
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?$2,415
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$2,240
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in June?$1,778
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?$1,696
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$1,668
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$1,410
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$1,381
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$1,319
Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?$1,271

Top Losers

Will Solana dip to $60 in June?$-5,147
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?$-3,601
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$-3,263
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of February?$-1,453
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-917
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,450 by end of February?$-700
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?$-600
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?$-507
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?$-416
US government shutdown Saturday?$-413

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.255
Sortino
0.191
HHI
169
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.087
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.8%
Top-5 markets
24.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
15.5
Active
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
42%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.67
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
10 min
Avg Trades / Session
30.1

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 124s — normal for humanCV 2.66 — diverse sizes (human-like)42% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock15 trades/day — very active0.9 markets/day — normal60% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 4:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
12.68
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.4%
Mid (20-55c)22.5%
High (>55c)75.1%

Sessions

#12
7/18/2026, 3:42:36 AM267 trades$28,74848 min
6/4/2026, 9:12:00 PM33 trades$26,61216 min
7/3/2026, 6:14:37 PM21 trades$20,4376 min
6/28/2026, 5:04:07 AM57 trades$15,47512 min
6/5/2026, 3:19:52 AM44 trades$15,30021 min
6/5/2026, 5:56:28 AM28 trades$14,0788 min
2/23/2026, 8:05:48 PM10 trades$13,11411 min
6/14/2026, 10:47:10 AM37 trades$13,07815 min
7/30/2026, 3:55:35 PM53 trades$12,2056 min
7/28/2026, 10:46:14 PM25 trades$12,05610 min
6/26/2026, 2:00:02 AM31 trades$11,8405 min
7/24/2026, 3:40:45 AM27 trades$10,9174 min
6/14/2026, 9:37:10 PM62 trades$10,84018 min
7/7/2026, 8:11:17 PM11 trades$9,8990 min
4/26/2026, 1:00:44 AM6 trades$9,3761 min
7/15/2026, 6:40:35 PM52 trades$9,16020 min
2/2/2026, 6:07:50 AM65 trades$8,80432 min
6/4/2026, 1:47:42 AM49 trades$8,40413 min
6/21/2026, 8:50:58 PM27 trades$8,35610 min
7/22/2026, 4:35:33 AM17 trades$8,1025 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-03
12-13
01-13
02-09
03-26
06-03
07-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 3 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.68/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.4 / M22.5 / H75.1