@ShishioMakoto

#2,987,1241

0x2ad70ab2ab6211e31c1e1974c3c549de6faba31f

~19d· 21 markets · 116 tradesVol: $22,0082026-10-08 03:44:33
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

1
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

32% (6/19)0.8/20
0.73x (win $242 / loss $333)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.6400/15
Sortino -1.9230/10
$-0.1737 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2928 (19 markets)0/10
4/14 profitable days (29%)0/10
Max DD 157% of peak ($323 / $206)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
52% entries < $0.20

Categories

1
🏛️ POLITICS#1,622,690$-727Vol: $22,008

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-727
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$22,008
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
21
total markets
Trades
33B / 83S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~19d

Periods

#2
Today
$-20
Vol: $0
Week
$-91
Vol: $10,585
Month
$-91
Vol: $10,585
All Time
$-727
Vol: $22,008

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
32%
6W / 13L events
Realized PnL
$-727
Win Rate
32%
6W / 13L
Profit Factor
0.73x
Avg Win
$40
Avg Loss
$-37

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $233 (0.32026961964371686% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?$115
Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$92
Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?$26
Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?$5
Will Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?$4
Will BN win the 2026 Johor general elections?$0

Top Losers

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-219
Will Kim Young-hwan win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?$-61
Will Shin Yong-han win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?$-19
Will Alex Borg be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?$-10
Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?$-10
Will Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?$-10
Peru Presidential Election Invalidated?$-2
Will Sandra Gauci be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?$-1
Will Geraldine Coggins win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.083
Sortino
-0.072
HHI
1228
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.219
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
30.3%
Top-5 markets
60%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.5h
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.27
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
25
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.6

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 194s — normal for humanCV 1.27 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — unusual hours16/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal28% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.79
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)51.5%
Mid (20-55c)12.1%
High (>55c)36.4%

Sessions

#12
6/10/2026, 10:13:09 PM17 trades$9364 min
5/31/2026, 1:30:04 PM9 trades$5953 min
10/3/2026, 3:34:30 AM2 trades$5930 min
5/26/2026, 6:59:40 AM6 trades$3340 min
6/9/2026, 1:08:39 AM10 trades$2270 min
5/27/2026, 12:38:02 PM2 trades$1000 min
8/25/2026, 5:21:19 AM2 trades$830 min
5/27/2026, 12:22:39 AM6 trades$810 min
6/5/2026, 1:50:01 AM7 trades$630 min
5/24/2026, 11:22:25 AM4 trades$630 min
6/1/2026, 10:19:34 AM9 trades$591 min
6/1/2026, 10:55:34 AM4 trades$590 min
6/25/2026, 9:23:04 AM4 trades$540 min
7/20/2026, 3:52:37 PM2 trades$470 min
8/1/2026, 7:33:18 AM3 trades$360 min
6/22/2026, 4:43:28 PM2 trades$290 min
6/25/2026, 10:24:56 AM5 trades$270 min
6/22/2026, 4:37:14 PM2 trades$170 min
5/31/2026, 1:01:17 PM4 trades$120 min
5/17/2026, 6:08:16 AM5 trades$100 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-17
05-26
05-29
06-01
06-22
07-04
07-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 38 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
71.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.79/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L51.5 / M12.1 / H36.4