@0x2c3e…7f57

51

0x2c3e0654d6acb084a9bae139fc55d8fc7ec37f57

~25d· 23 markets · 587 trades2026-10-08 01:21:38
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

51
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

48% (10/21)8.8/20
1.36x (win $10,713 / loss $7,857)7/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.38815/15
Sortino 2.35610/10
$+0.1241 per $1 invested6.2/10
HHI 5087 (21 markets)0/10
6/13 profitable days (46%)4/10
Max DD 234% of peak ($6,822 / $2,912)0/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+4,157
Lottery Player
61% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 40.2 entries/market

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$4,157
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$23,006
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
23
total markets
Trades
312B / 275S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~25d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
45%
9W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$4,157
Win Rate
45%
9W / 11L
Profit Factor
1.36x
Avg Win
$1,071
Avg Loss
$-714

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $9,675 (2.327170085437192% of PnL)

Top Winners

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$8,819
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?$442
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 29?$414
Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?$388
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$249
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$156
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$133
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$98
US strike on Mexico by March 31?$8
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$7

Top Losers

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-6,398
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$-498
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$-426
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-266
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$-89
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$-85
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?$-46
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?$-27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$-20
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.070
Sortino
0.093
HHI
11239
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.082
Kelly %
35.2%
Half-Kelly
17.6%
Top-1 market
104.4%
Top-5 markets
134.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
56s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.99
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.6

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 56s — normal for humanCV 4.99 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern20/24 hours — extended activity2 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal61% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
40.24
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)60.9%
Mid (20-55c)14.1%
High (>55c)25%

Sessions

#12
4/3/2026, 6:31:23 PM18 trades$10,6230 min
4/3/2026, 7:19:25 PM23 trades$9,8090 min
5/9/2026, 8:25:36 PM2 trades$3,4840 min
10/7/2026, 1:17:43 PM9 trades$2,4203 min
4/7/2026, 8:10:57 AM39 trades$2,34721 min
5/11/2026, 6:54:12 PM87 trades$1,9949 min
5/8/2026, 7:25:08 PM4 trades$1,9710 min
5/9/2026, 7:21:44 PM43 trades$1,9174 min
4/5/2026, 6:34:47 PM8 trades$1,3594 min
5/8/2026, 6:22:44 PM6 trades$1,2900 min
8/8/2026, 3:36:30 PM2 trades$1,1040 min
10/7/2026, 2:18:53 AM5 trades$8811 min
4/29/2026, 7:15:16 PM55 trades$86418 min
4/3/2026, 4:27:19 PM4 trades$6140 min
9/20/2026, 7:40:10 AM1 trades$5420 min
4/5/2026, 3:51:23 PM72 trades$46322 min
4/7/2026, 2:16:25 PM2 trades$4000 min
4/7/2026, 1:56:11 PM5 trades$3560 min
4/19/2026, 10:28:16 PM2 trades$3350 min
4/20/2026, 12:26:54 AM7 trades$3201 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-04
04-07
04-16
04-29
05-08
05-11
09-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 75 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
46.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 40.24/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L60.9 / M14.1 / H25