@Harleny

#2,309,64922

0x2e68e4d078ea872873cb9be5e9cf67766e1954bd

~39d· 57 markets · 116 tradesVol: $45,224 @JTilkens2026-10-04 02:19:20
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

22
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

60% (29/48)15.2/20
0.69x (win $109 / loss $158)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.3750/15
Sortino -2.9420/10
$-0.0054 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 3001 (48 markets)0/10
14/25 profitable days (56%)6.5/10
Max DD 12381% of peak ($97 / $1)0/10

Badges

2
Sniper
Win rate 60%
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

7
⚽ SPORTS#1,432,855$-15Vol: $30,786
🏛️ POLITICS#1,487,407$-57Vol: $13,356
₿ CRYPTO#360,153$2Vol: $330
💰 FINANCE#49,860$13Vol: $270
🎭 CULTURE#134,031$2Vol: $159
📈 ECONOMICS#400,056$-0Vol: $155
💻 TECH#18,551$11Vol: $124

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-38
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$45,224
Total Redeem
$72
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
57
total markets
Trades
64B / 52S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~39d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $11
All Time
$-38
Vol: $45,224

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
60%
29W / 19L events
Realized PnL
$-38
Win Rate
60%
29W / 19L
Profit Factor
0.69x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-12

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $64 (1.6837246109206014% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$47
Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?$9
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?$8
US strikes Iran by February 16, 2026?$8
Kash Patel out by April 30?$7
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$5
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?$4
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?$4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?$2
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?$2

Top Losers

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$-40
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?$-30
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?$-26
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-21
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-11
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$-10
Will Everton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$-7
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?$-4
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-3
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-3

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.122
Sortino
-0.112
HHI
2516
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.005
Kelly %
38.1%
Half-Kelly
19.1%
Top-1 market
33.7%
Top-5 markets
86.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
10/24
Normal
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
22s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.81
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
42
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.8

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 22s — normal for humanCV 2.81 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern10/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal16% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.38
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7.8%
Mid (20-55c)1.6%
High (>55c)90.6%

Sessions

#12
2/26/2026, 9:35:40 AM4 trades$3,0502 min
2/28/2026, 2:05:39 PM4 trades$3,0461 min
3/5/2026, 8:23:45 AM2 trades$3,0450 min
3/11/2026, 11:16:09 AM5 trades$1,6401 min
2/19/2026, 8:05:16 AM2 trades$1,5412 min
2/16/2026, 6:55:03 AM1 trades$1,5330 min
6/13/2026, 8:44:25 AM9 trades$1521 min
4/21/2026, 1:41:34 PM14 trades$1392 min
11/30/2025, 9:09:08 AM3 trades$1320 min
4/29/2026, 12:24:44 PM8 trades$1321 min
1/22/2026, 12:33:12 PM3 trades$1121 min
11/14/2025, 6:04:28 AM3 trades$1061 min
12/16/2025, 9:35:21 AM2 trades$1010 min
11/24/2025, 7:59:23 AM2 trades$930 min
1/20/2026, 8:48:22 AM3 trades$921 min
3/29/2026, 6:11:22 AM4 trades$851 min
12/13/2025, 8:40:06 AM2 trades$810 min
11/20/2025, 6:22:57 AM2 trades$770 min
12/20/2025, 9:41:26 AM2 trades$750 min
11/17/2025, 6:40:49 AM2 trades$741 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-14
11-30
12-20
02-16
03-11
04-21
06-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 150 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
44.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.38/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L7.8 / M1.6 / H90.6