@mystery

#86,41091

0x323d1e68c82ca47c4522df3ef2fc86a1a83d781c

~184d· 651 markets · 2440 tradesVol: $71,825 @x_musker2026-10-08 01:34:35
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

91
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

90% (493/547)20/20
2.53x (win $1,470 / loss $581)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.59915/15
Sortino 11.70610/10
$+0.0224 per $1 invested1.1/10
HHI 171 (547 markets)10/10
107/123 profitable days (87%)10/10
Max DD 12% of peak ($105 / $889)10/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 90%
Profitable
PnL $+877
Consistent
107/123 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 12%
Win Streak
45 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
₿ CRYPTO#32,498$820Vol: $39,020
🎭 CULTURE#803,408$-191Vol: $17,388
💰 FINANCE#49,593$13Vol: $4,962
🏛️ POLITICS#65,923$97Vol: $4,545
⚽ SPORTS#233,822$18Vol: $2,058
📈 ECONOMICS#14,431$77Vol: $1,137
🌤️ WEATHER#21,888$11Vol: $990
💻 TECH#28,662$4Vol: $435
📢 MENTIONS#150,095$-23Vol: $210

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$877
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$71,825
Total Redeem
$578
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
651
total markets
Trades
1810B / 630S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~184d

Periods

#2
Today
$7
Vol: $146
Week
$34
Vol: $4,367
Month
$78
Vol: $5,824
All Time
$877
Vol: $71,825

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
90%
488W / 53L events
Realized PnL
$877
Win Rate
90%
488W / 53L
Profit Factor
2.53x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-13

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $284 (0.32353913311070337% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?$99
Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026?$95
Will Ethereum hit $14,000 by December 31?$90
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$82
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?$60
Will Ethereum reach $5800 in August?$45
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$42
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$34
Will Ethereum dip to $4200 in September?$34
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?$27

Top Losers

Will Elon tweet 400 or more times August 29–September 5?$-82
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?$-71
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$-37
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during September press conference?$-31
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $215 in April?$-28
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July?$-27
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$-27
Will Ethereum reach $4900 August 18–24?$-23
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times August 22–August 29?$-23

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.240
Sortino
0.297
HHI
61
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.032
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.7%
Top-5 markets
13.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.86
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
15.0

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 320s — normal for humanCV 1.87 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal61% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.72
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5.1%
Mid (20-55c)1.7%
High (>55c)93.3%

Sessions

#12
6/5/2026, 6:26:07 AM142 trades$7,1926 min
6/4/2026, 2:00:25 AM25 trades$2,4082 min
10/4/2026, 8:06:17 PM29 trades$1,68924 min
10/4/2026, 8:54:35 PM65 trades$1,21637 min
6/5/2026, 6:17:28 AM38 trades$1,1361 min
6/5/2026, 3:16:51 PM53 trades$9671 min
4/2/2026, 12:44:23 PM68 trades$87520 min
10/10/2025, 10:53:00 PM1 trades$7470 min
8/23/2025, 2:16:53 PM3 trades$7011 min
10/10/2025, 10:35:50 PM2 trades$5634 min
9/6/2026, 6:56:19 PM12 trades$5584 min
6/4/2026, 12:47:13 PM1 trades$5330 min
6/4/2026, 9:28:31 AM4 trades$4850 min
3/20/2026, 8:36:17 PM25 trades$48226 min
4/1/2026, 6:22:31 PM28 trades$4737 min
4/13/2026, 11:19:19 PM4 trades$3862 min
8/22/2025, 10:02:46 AM1 trades$3650 min
4/22/2026, 5:47:04 AM4 trades$3573 min
10/5/2026, 6:39:56 AM8 trades$3441 min
7/28/2026, 9:57:28 PM7 trades$3405 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-10
07-31
09-13
10-14
04-01
04-29
09-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
25.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.72/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L5.1 / M1.7 / H93.3