MisTKy

@MisTKy

#59370

0x35bbbad2415fe5e39b12da9a316cdc80b022009b

~262d· 706 markets · 73693 tradesVol: $72,245,980 @MiSTkyGo2026-10-02 00:03:44
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

70
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

70% (432/613)20/20
1.32x (win $5,044,793 / loss $3,814,625)6.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.67012.6/15
Sortino 1.21010/10
$+0.0411 per $1 invested2.1/10
HHI 192 (613 markets)10/10
133/198 profitable days (67%)9.3/10
Max DD 109% of peak ($1,660,210 / $1,524,182)0/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 70%
Profitable
PnL $+328,323
DCA Master
Avg 156.3 entries/market
Whale
$29,931,464 invested
Consistent
133/198 profitable days
High Roller
$54,619/day
Win Streak
16 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#173$279,416Vol: $57,192,700
📈 ECONOMICS#131$55,149Vol: $10,385,629
₿ CRYPTO#5,233$9,125Vol: $1,220,013
⚽ SPORTS#1,926,433$-7,709Vol: $1,108,141
🎭 CULTURE#1,801$4,189Vol: $954,855
💰 FINANCE#4,437$923Vol: $533,216
💻 TECH#1,211$1,361Vol: $464,435
📢 MENTIONS#181,536$-2,574Vol: $119,123
🌤️ WEATHER#1,687$975Vol: $76,605

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$334,212
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$72,245,980
Total Redeem
$402,440
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
706
total markets
Trades
31134B / 42559S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~262d

Periods

#2
Today
$2,011
Vol: $290,960
Week
$3,426
Vol: $1,310,547
Month
$43,700
Vol: $4,893,212
All Time
$334,212
Vol: $72,245,980

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
71%
424W / 175L events
Realized PnL
$328,323
Win Rate
71%
424W / 175L
Profit Factor
1.32x
Avg Win
$11,678
Avg Loss
$-21,798

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,588,038 (7.882603754330953% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1,215,588
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$822,975
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$549,474
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$379,090
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$375,490
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$115,313
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$93,896
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?$88,122
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$83,385
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$82,404

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-1,117,682
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$-449,653
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-328,003
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$-216,894
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$-211,228
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-143,819
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$-143,277
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$-120,380
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$-82,059
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?$-69,814

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.035
Sortino
0.038
HHI
319
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.030
Kelly %
30.0%
Half-Kelly
15.0%
Top-1 market
8%
Top-5 markets
27.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
134.5
Very active
Markets / Day
1.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
48s
between trades
Avg Gap
8.4m
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.60
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
26 min
Avg Trades / Session
84.4

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 48s — normal for humanCV 3.60 — diverse sizes (human-like)13% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock134 trades/day — automation1.3 markets/day — normal65% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
156.26
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5.1%
Mid (20-55c)15%
High (>55c)79.9%

Sessions

#12
4/7/2026, 10:30:05 PM226 trades$310,95455 min
3/29/2026, 9:53:48 PM15 trades$300,74316 min
1/22/2026, 1:02:24 AM92 trades$246,86261 min
6/7/2026, 10:05:37 PM135 trades$242,70057 min
4/7/2026, 7:21:59 PM130 trades$231,89631 min
4/5/2026, 12:16:03 PM74 trades$202,79030 min
2/28/2026, 11:17:41 PM44 trades$196,45519 min
4/24/2026, 11:11:18 AM188 trades$174,62113 min
4/6/2026, 4:03:23 PM45 trades$171,9591 min
4/3/2026, 4:06:09 PM47 trades$161,49111 min
3/15/2026, 5:16:45 AM137 trades$160,00690 min
3/25/2026, 12:09:41 PM72 trades$156,17158 min
7/14/2026, 12:30:17 PM77 trades$147,74214 min
5/6/2026, 9:47:42 AM52 trades$145,0187 min
6/14/2026, 9:27:58 PM77 trades$142,87812 min
5/3/2026, 7:48:06 AM4 trades$142,3675 min
4/7/2026, 8:32:59 PM196 trades$140,34431 min
4/16/2026, 4:30:02 PM135 trades$139,45736 min
5/23/2026, 1:33:25 PM86 trades$137,9357 min
6/16/2026, 11:56:01 AM8 trades$136,6971 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-11
02-15
03-27
05-03
06-12
07-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 25 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
57.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 156.26/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L5.1 / M15 / H79.9