@pinedadarryl

#1,348,63330

0x35fb8a5fd0ef93e358f87bab71223f258089994a

~34d· 48 markets · 59 tradesVol: $3,6152026-10-03 15:19:18
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

30
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

55% (26/47)12.7/20
0.35x (win $1 / loss $2)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.5430/15
Sortino -3.6110/10
$-0.0160 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 383 (47 markets)10/10
18/31 profitable days (58%)7/10
Max DD 642% of peak ($2 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Win Streak
6 wins in a row

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#873,795$-1Vol: $2,096
🎭 CULTURE#499,992$-1Vol: $1,483
💰 FINANCE#258,463$0Vol: $16
₿ CRYPTO#615,725$0Vol: $10
💻 TECH#110,069$0Vol: $9

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,615
Total Redeem
$1
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
48
total markets
Trades
52B / 7S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~34d

Periods

#2
Week
$0
Vol: $4
Month
$0
Vol: $4
All Time
$-2
Vol: $3,615

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
55%
26W / 21L events
Realized PnL
$-2
Win Rate
55%
26W / 21L
Profit Factor
0.35x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-1

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $0 (0.3026315789473684% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Alexander Lukashenko win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election? $0
US strikes Afghanistan by October 31?$0
Ukraine agrees to resume Russian natural gas transit in January? $0
Will DOGE audit Fort Knox before May?$0
Will xAI have the top AI model on January 31?$0
Will Tesla name a new CEO before July? $0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?$0
Polish strike on Russia by September 30?$0
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?$0
Will SBF launch a coin before April?$0

Top Losers

Will FDP win the most seats in the next German election?$-1
Will Slovenia win Eurovision 2025?$-1
Will Waldemar Witkowski be the next President of Poland?$-0
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2025?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.182
Sortino
-0.136
HHI
353
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.016
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.9%
Top-5 markets
32.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.5h
between trades
Avg Gap
6.5h
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.72
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.1

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 12776s — normal for humanCV 0.72 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours21/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal3% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.26
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.6%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)90.4%

Sessions

#12
10/19/2025, 11:18:29 AM1 trades$90 min
1/19/2025, 1:48:15 PM1 trades$40 min
6/16/2025, 4:00:40 AM3 trades$40 min
1/5/2025, 6:47:35 PM1 trades$40 min
1/5/2025, 8:17:49 PM1 trades$40 min
1/5/2025, 2:20:23 PM1 trades$40 min
9/26/2026, 8:28:17 PM3 trades$40 min
5/11/2026, 5:06:15 PM2 trades$30 min
1/5/2025, 3:50:25 PM1 trades$30 min
1/6/2025, 2:49:23 AM1 trades$30 min
10/23/2025, 4:17:53 PM1 trades$30 min
1/18/2025, 12:31:39 PM1 trades$20 min
4/20/2025, 8:30:30 AM2 trades$20 min
1/23/2025, 4:14:01 PM1 trades$20 min
1/5/2025, 7:20:47 PM1 trades$20 min
9/15/2025, 9:18:30 PM1 trades$20 min
1/18/2025, 2:15:35 PM1 trades$20 min
9/17/2025, 3:41:00 AM1 trades$20 min
4/19/2025, 10:04:54 PM1 trades$20 min
6/14/2025, 9:08:53 PM1 trades$20 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-05
02-18
04-20
06-16
09-17
12-30
05-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 104 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
11.9% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.26/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9.6 / M0 / H90.4