@TheReturnOfDarthMaul

#3,077,10227

0x3a8aa345d5db7ec5138298c8c4f4540259be7699

~175d· 1115 markets · 17279 tradesVol: $16,588,6092026-08-06 05:33:32
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

27
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

56% (592/1055)13.1/20
0.25x (win $910,010 / loss $3,583,357)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.7120/15
Sortino -1.7120/10
$-0.3362 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1335 (1055 markets)5.8/10
80/125 profitable days (64%)8.5/10
Max DD 4110% of peak ($2,740,013 / $66,666)0/10

Badges

6
DCA Master
Avg 18.9 entries/market
Whale
$7,952,272 invested
Consistent
80/125 profitable days
High Roller
$44,676/day
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
📈 ECONOMICS#683,709$-611,796Vol: $10,098,563
SPORTS#1,883,392$-44,202Vol: $2,911,791
🏛️ POLITICS#1,642,545$-59,367Vol: $2,230,868
💰 FINANCE#281$17,987Vol: $777,569
CRYPTO#7,854$6,190Vol: $323,218
🎭 CULTURE#5,154$966Vol: $128,989
📢 MENTIONS#174,499$-698Vol: $104,899
💻 TECH#3,119$295Vol: $8,680

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-690,401
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$16,588,609
Total Redeem
$148,458
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1115
total markets
Trades
11819B / 5460S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~175d

Periods

#2
Today
$-6,373
Vol: $0
Week
$-69,788
Vol: $295,260
Month
$-69,414
Vol: $295,265
All Time
$-690,401
Vol: $16,588,609

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
56%
592W / 463L events
Realized PnL
$-661,084
Win Rate
56%
592W / 463L
Profit Factor
0.25x
Avg Win
$1,537
Avg Loss
$-7,928

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $350,506 (0.5301991604878498% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$189,965
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$86,703
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$73,839
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$47,600
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$36,674
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$35,972
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$28,005
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$24,868
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$23,054
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$22,814

Top Losers

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$-1,678,907
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-1,006,066
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-93,487
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-76,410
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-72,507
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-69,356
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-62,998
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$-58,625
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-53,556
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-44,521

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.089
Sortino
-0.054
HHI
630
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.282
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
15.6%
Top-5 markets
46.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
97.1
Very active
Markets / Day
6.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
24.1m
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.82
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
46.5

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 130s — normal for humanCV 6.82 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock97 trades/day — mass trading6.3 markets/day — normal61% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
18.87
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)18%
Mid (20-55c)13%
High (>55c)69%

Sessions

#12
7/3/2026, 4:28:53 PM58 trades$496,7780 min
6/29/2026, 12:44:08 AM77 trades$333,3916 min
7/29/2026, 11:21:35 AM7 trades$275,6990 min
7/6/2026, 11:22:11 AM58 trades$269,6350 min
7/21/2026, 1:24:37 PM81 trades$239,72314 min
7/1/2026, 1:05:34 PM63 trades$209,3331 min
7/6/2026, 2:31:44 PM44 trades$203,47111 min
4/11/2026, 10:35:41 PM6 trades$200,0240 min
4/29/2026, 5:41:28 PM4 trades$200,0200 min
7/27/2026, 8:20:39 PM29 trades$146,2385 min
7/6/2026, 9:14:41 PM30 trades$133,5763 min
7/2/2026, 4:42:32 PM59 trades$130,34810 min
6/29/2026, 3:57:19 PM60 trades$116,89527 min
7/13/2026, 6:14:10 PM10 trades$116,2370 min
7/31/2026, 8:45:30 PM325 trades$115,95817 min
7/29/2026, 1:49:45 PM35 trades$111,91210 min
8/4/2026, 2:40:27 PM26 trades$106,2128 min
7/2/2026, 12:41:25 PM71 trades$103,01431 min
6/15/2026, 4:21:49 PM8 trades$100,5510 min
6/23/2026, 3:24:50 PM20 trades$100,3936 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-09
03-04
03-26
04-23
05-14
06-08
07-13

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 44 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 18.87/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L18 / M13 / H69