@alexdevbnb
280x3c77626ca7b96bd1c1662ef0757702a550d46e76
~136d· 1581 markets · 4894 trades2026-10-08 02:57:27
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
28
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
53% (783/1489)11.3/20
0.90x (win $10,480 / loss $11,636)1.3/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.6050/15
Sortino -0.8210/10
$-0.0004 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 440 (1489 markets)10/10
63/125 profitable days (50%)5.1/10
Max DD 1076% of peak ($2,688 / $250)0/10
Badges
4Whale
$2,915,769 invested
High Roller
$9,140/day
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-3,753
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,915,769
Total Redeem
$7,148
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1581
total markets
Trades
3201B / 1693S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~136d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
53%
783W / 706L events
Realized PnL
$-3,753
Win Rate
53%
783W / 706L
Profit Factor
0.9x
Avg Win
$13
Avg Loss
$-17
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,920 (1.044680783026259% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the State of the Union be 120 minutes or longer?$2,520
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?$792
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?$608
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?$507
Over $10M committed to the Trove public sale?$486
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$301
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?$246
Over $40M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?$198
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?$185
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$164
Top Losers
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?$-1,973
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$-822
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?$-496
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$-303
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?$-246
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?$-230
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?$-224
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?$-213
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?$-200
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-195
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.032
Sortino
-0.032
HHI
227
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.001
Kelly %
51.0%
Half-Kelly
25.5%
Top-1 market
6.3%
Top-5 markets
25.7%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
15.3
Active
Markets / Day
5.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
32s
between trades
Avg Gap
31.8m
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.36
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.7
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 32s — normal for humanCV 2.36 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock15 trades/day — very active5.0 markets/day — normal24% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 22:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.03
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)17.6%
Mid (20-55c)21.4%
High (>55c)61.1%
Sessions
#121/13/2026, 10:22:25 AM36 trades$45,59415 min
1/11/2026, 10:11:04 PM42 trades$43,38523 min
2/9/2026, 5:11:45 PM4 trades$34,1270 min
2/9/2026, 5:25:59 PM10 trades$34,0871 min
2/10/2026, 1:38:25 PM14 trades$32,93516 min
2/12/2026, 12:17:19 AM8 trades$31,3367 min
2/14/2026, 12:45:31 AM5 trades$29,7354 min
2/14/2026, 11:12:05 AM21 trades$29,6687 min
2/16/2026, 1:20:49 PM5 trades$27,7362 min
2/8/2026, 2:06:01 AM4 trades$26,5376 min
2/9/2026, 1:28:15 PM3 trades$25,7490 min
2/9/2026, 1:58:15 PM8 trades$25,7192 min
2/9/2026, 4:54:33 PM3 trades$25,6210 min
2/9/2026, 6:11:13 PM3 trades$25,4921 min
1/13/2026, 10:55:17 AM20 trades$24,9758 min
1/13/2026, 1:15:03 PM19 trades$23,4817 min
2/8/2026, 1:32:13 AM21 trades$23,3324 min
2/13/2026, 4:51:15 AM3 trades$23,1200 min
2/15/2026, 9:54:31 PM64 trades$21,17240 min
2/10/2026, 9:53:31 AM3 trades$18,7514 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-03
01-27
02-18
03-11
03-31
05-06
06-27
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 51 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.03/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L17.6 / M21.4 / H61.1