@AXIOSinsider
#172,664480x3d0bcd8b4c4689c643337d48783086849acef522
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
48
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
13% (6/46)0/20
1.33x (win $2,042 / loss $1,534)6.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.14915/15
Sortino 4.07510/10
$+0.1490 per $1 invested7.4/10
HHI 770 (46 markets)8.7/10
6/34 profitable days (18%)0/10
Max DD 121% of peak ($923 / $763)0/10
Badges
2Profitable
PnL $+192
Lottery Player
55% entries < $0.20
Categories
7🏛️ POLITICS#25,474$577Vol: $21,225
💰 FINANCE#628,378$-50Vol: $12,359
₿ CRYPTO#1,584,464$-222Vol: $3,666
📈 ECONOMICS#577,240$-5Vol: $1,250
🎭 CULTURE#781,789$-74Vol: $1,215
🌤️ WEATHER#265,972$-24Vol: $205
⚽ SPORTS#154,949$57Vol: $202
Overview
#1Net PnL
$192
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$40,397
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
48
total markets
Trades
93B / 164S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~47d
Periods
#2Today
$92
Vol: $0
Week
$66
Vol: $3,171
Month
$48
Vol: $7,667
All Time
$192
Vol: $40,397
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
14%
6W / 38L events
Realized PnL
$192
Win Rate
14%
6W / 38L
Profit Factor
1.33x
Avg Win
$340
Avg Loss
$-39
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,912 (9.93886462882096% of PnL)
Top Winners
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?$1,291
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?$510
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?$111
Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)$71
US military action against Iran by Monday?$45
Will Russia capture Toretsk before October?$14
Top Losers
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in March?$-200
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?$-166
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?$-151
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$-115
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$-93
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 14?$-82
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in August?$-60
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?$-53
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?$-46
Will Zelenskyy apologize to Trump by Friday?$-44
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.059
Sortino
0.269
HHI
1256
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.143
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
23.5%
Top-5 markets
66.7%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.3h
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.24
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.6
Bot Detection
#60
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 226s — normal for humanCV 2.24 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern15/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal26% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 15:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
6.28
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)54.8%
Mid (20-55c)20.4%
High (>55c)24.7%
Sessions
#128/17/2026, 3:01:33 PM13 trades$1,8191 min
9/9/2026, 2:51:52 PM6 trades$1,5193 min
8/17/2026, 1:06:45 PM3 trades$1,3830 min
8/7/2026, 1:33:43 PM9 trades$1,2750 min
8/30/2026, 9:01:10 AM19 trades$9371 min
7/12/2026, 5:33:31 PM7 trades$8602 min
8/6/2026, 2:44:54 PM7 trades$8520 min
8/4/2026, 6:23:20 PM10 trades$8034 min
8/10/2026, 1:13:16 PM8 trades$7262 min
7/18/2026, 6:28:07 PM10 trades$7202 min
7/22/2026, 8:42:39 AM7 trades$6330 min
9/28/2026, 9:17:23 AM4 trades$6260 min
8/20/2026, 2:44:39 PM5 trades$6200 min
6/2/2026, 9:58:44 AM2 trades$5560 min
8/5/2026, 2:54:39 PM8 trades$4832 min
8/5/2026, 7:16:17 PM11 trades$4202 min
8/7/2026, 11:42:00 AM5 trades$3971 min
7/11/2026, 3:42:58 PM10 trades$3163 min
7/8/2026, 4:33:01 PM5 trades$2760 min
9/10/2026, 4:32:55 PM3 trades$2750 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-23
07-14
10-31
02-25
06-02
08-05
08-20
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 667 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
63.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.28/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L54.8 / M20.4 / H24.7