onchainretard

@onchainretard

#34,70966

0x3e775deb4df4b10645bb5d67814cb6cbd0a6e626

~235d· 810 markets · 5162 tradesVol: $263,0232026-10-03 07:40:57
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

66
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

44% (354/806)7/20
1.37x (win $16,224 / loss $11,830)7.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.23815/15
Sortino 3.40210/10
$+0.0570 per $1 invested2.9/10
HHI 81 (806 markets)10/10
99/188 profitable days (53%)5.7/10
Max DD 26% of peak ($1,360 / $5,165)8.7/10

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+3,178
Contrarian
58% entries < $0.55
Whale
$77,042 invested
Cool Head
Max DD 26%
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
76% maker orders

Categories

8
💰 FINANCE#1,673$2,979Vol: $95,402
₿ CRYPTO#45,868$382Vol: $62,596
🎭 CULTURE#809,794$-309Vol: $36,716
🏛️ POLITICS#1,599,804$-390Vol: $34,772
⚽ SPORTS#92,333$175Vol: $9,018
💻 TECH#3,550$271Vol: $2,273
📢 MENTIONS#9,132$50Vol: $1,720
📈 ECONOMICS#636,846$-20Vol: $74

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$3,349
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$263,023
Total Redeem
$908
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
810
total markets
Trades
3742B / 1420S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~235d

Periods

#2
Week
$-58
Vol: $145
Month
$15
Vol: $816
All Time
$3,349
Vol: $263,023

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
44%
352W / 452L events
Realized PnL
$3,178
Win Rate
44%
352W / 452L
Profit Factor
1.37x
Avg Win
$46
Avg Loss
$-28

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,899 (0.5977284242792357% of PnL)

Top Winners

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 4?$640
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12?$631
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $730 Week of May 4 2026?$629
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 13?$546
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?$498
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?$480
Will Google dip to $300 in Nov 25-28?$475
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on June 15?$449
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$264
Will Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$261

Top Losers

Will MrBeast hit 105.5 billion views by December 31? $-958
Pump.fun announces public raise sold out in the first hour?$-631
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 17?$-537
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 7?$-491
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 Week of June 15 2026?$-485
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of May 4 2026?$-386
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 17?$-316
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in June?$-288
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in July?$-262
Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$-229

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.117
Sortino
0.133
HHI
75
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.059
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.8%
Top-5 markets
11.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
59.6m
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.27
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.7

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 319s — normal for humanCV 2.27 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock7 trades/day — normal1.1 markets/day — normal76% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.38
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)26.6%
Mid (20-55c)31.3%
High (>55c)42.1%

Sessions

#12
6/17/2025, 8:59:27 AM2 trades$1,8751 min
6/18/2025, 2:47:38 PM6 trades$1,3667 min
6/12/2026, 9:42:10 AM2 trades$9610 min
6/17/2025, 2:59:42 PM1 trades$9600 min
12/21/2025, 3:05:35 PM7 trades$9255 min
6/17/2025, 3:33:59 PM1 trades$9190 min
6/15/2025, 1:38:05 AM1 trades$8170 min
6/15/2026, 1:07:28 PM5 trades$8164 min
6/12/2026, 8:02:25 AM7 trades$7947 min
7/4/2025, 8:40:43 AM7 trades$7869 min
3/30/2026, 2:36:11 PM9 trades$7684 min
12/21/2025, 3:20:45 PM1 trades$7470 min
12/21/2025, 12:14:09 PM18 trades$72324 min
6/15/2025, 1:03:43 AM80 trades$7176 min
6/12/2026, 1:41:46 PM7 trades$7111 min
6/17/2026, 4:42:38 AM19 trades$67916 min
12/11/2025, 8:48:25 PM6 trades$6558 min
6/21/2026, 10:09:37 PM5 trades$6314 min
7/4/2025, 5:16:17 AM5 trades$6287 min
7/4/2025, 7:45:31 AM3 trades$6270 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-17
03-06
06-14
10-02
12-21
05-16
07-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 3 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
27.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.38/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L26.6 / M31.3 / H42.1