@MarcusLiu080

#2,270,32225

0x3eba689818c028b291f1bbc494bb51df29f39172

~14d· 31 markets · 47 tradesVol: $27,195 @LauraPerry749752026-10-06 00:22:07
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

25
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

67% (10/15)18.3/20
0.17x (win $6 / loss $37)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -10.2510/15
Sortino -9.1920/10
$-0.1093 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 4320 (15 markets)0/10
4/7 profitable days (57%)6.8/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($36 / $0)0/10

Badges

2
Sniper
Win rate 67%
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

6
🎭 CULTURE#732,454$-20Vol: $20,000
🏛️ POLITICS#1,291,385$-10Vol: $6,628
₿ CRYPTO#985,607$-3Vol: $498
⚽ SPORTS#474,148$0Vol: $61
💻 TECH#52,561$1Vol: $6
📈 ECONOMICS#204,509$0Vol: $3

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-33
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$27,195
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
31
total markets
Trades
37B / 10S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~14d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$-2
Vol: $36
All Time
$-33
Vol: $27,195

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
64%
9W / 5L events
Realized PnL
$-33
Win Rate
64%
9W / 5L
Profit Factor
0.17x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-7

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5 (0.1657492354740061% of PnL)

Top Winners

Trump out as President by March 31?$4
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$1
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on November 18?$1
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series?$0
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series?$0
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series?$0
Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series?$0
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series?$0
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$0
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$0

Top Losers

Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?$-20
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$-10
Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?$-3
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?$-2
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.497
Sortino
-0.547
HHI
4027
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.094
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
59.8%
Top-5 markets
98.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
4/24
Normal
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
13s
between trades
Avg Gap
27s
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.86
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
14
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.4

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 13s — suspiciously fastCV 1.86 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern4/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal13% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.4
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)27%
Mid (20-55c)10.8%
High (>55c)62.2%

Sessions

#12
3/27/2026, 3:04:29 PM8 trades$1155 min
2/9/2026, 3:15:49 PM1 trades$840 min
10/27/2025, 2:30:39 PM1 trades$400 min
9/8/2026, 2:10:34 PM12 trades$362 min
11/28/2025, 3:28:35 PM8 trades$331 min
10/23/2025, 3:08:23 PM5 trades$223 min
11/8/2025, 1:19:29 PM1 trades$200 min
12/18/2025, 2:53:23 PM4 trades$131 min
11/10/2025, 2:14:00 PM1 trades$50 min
11/18/2025, 2:59:37 PM1 trades$50 min
12/1/2025, 4:07:46 PM1 trades$50 min
12/13/2025, 1:08:47 PM2 trades$40 min
12/31/2025, 2:37:01 PM1 trades$40 min
1/26/2026, 1:51:53 PM1 trades$40 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-23
11-08
11-10
11-18
12-13
03-27
09-08

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
21.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.4/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L27 / M10.8 / H62.2