@brown8886

#128,31361

0x3f928fe4babc58286d3ecb9a08e71516d1f86deb

~46d· 54 markets · 165 tradesVol: $32,030 @brown888862026-10-02 23:55:53
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

61
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

55% (28/51)12.5/20
1.81x (win $851 / loss $470)12.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.82115/15
Sortino 6.67310/10
$+0.0915 per $1 invested4.6/10
HHI 2155 (51 markets)1.7/10
17/35 profitable days (49%)4.6/10
Max DD 72% of peak ($320 / $445)0/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+378
Contrarian
59% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
8 wins in a row

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#29,786$430Vol: $28,572
💰 FINANCE#538,302$-4Vol: $1,202
📈 ECONOMICS#659,024$-47Vol: $1,171
₿ CRYPTO#1,031,911$-5Vol: $218
📢 MENTIONS#23,569$7Vol: $213
🎭 CULTURE#45,317$23Vol: $181
⚽ SPORTS#1,129,326$-3Vol: $19

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$377
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$32,030
Total Redeem
$1
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
54
total markets
Trades
120B / 45S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~46d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $58
All Time
$377
Vol: $32,030

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
55%
28W / 23L events
Realized PnL
$378
Win Rate
55%
28W / 23L
Profit Factor
1.81x
Avg Win
$30
Avg Loss
$-22

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $719 (1.9013030951814553% of PnL)

Top Winners

US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$649
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 21?$44
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$27
US military action against Iran before July?$26
US x Iran nuclear talks resume before July?$21
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$18
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?$17
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 26?$10
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?$9
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?$7

Top Losers

Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? $-111
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$-100
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$-82
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 27?$-50
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?$-33
Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025?$-29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$-12
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 28?$-10
Will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be between $1,070,000 and $1,080,000 by February 1?$-7
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$-6

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.094
Sortino
0.296
HHI
1270
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.098
Kelly %
12.6%
Half-Kelly
6.3%
Top-1 market
24%
Top-5 markets
68.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.8h
between trades
Night Trading
36%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.61
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.4

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 256s — normal for humanCV 2.61 — diverse sizes (human-like)36% night trades — never sleeps18/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal42% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.16
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)22.5%
Mid (20-55c)36.7%
High (>55c)40.8%

Sessions

#12
1/15/2026, 12:59:04 PM1 trades$1,0000 min
1/14/2026, 9:01:54 AM4 trades$1,0002 min
1/14/2026, 10:17:24 AM2 trades$9403 min
1/14/2026, 10:25:46 AM12 trades$8592 min
1/15/2026, 2:19:42 PM1 trades$5470 min
1/21/2026, 3:22:40 PM1 trades$4400 min
7/25/2025, 7:20:32 AM2 trades$3061 min
5/14/2026, 8:29:14 AM4 trades$1890 min
5/25/2026, 2:54:35 AM5 trades$1600 min
5/25/2026, 2:32:53 AM1 trades$1530 min
6/24/2025, 3:29:19 AM6 trades$1262 min
6/27/2025, 3:36:57 AM5 trades$1111 min
5/25/2026, 2:45:52 AM5 trades$1100 min
7/13/2025, 12:04:22 PM1 trades$1000 min
1/10/2026, 9:38:38 AM1 trades$940 min
1/7/2026, 2:07:41 AM1 trades$940 min
12/16/2025, 1:35:19 PM4 trades$864 min
1/11/2026, 6:42:06 AM1 trades$560 min
1/11/2026, 10:24:30 AM1 trades$540 min
1/26/2026, 2:10:27 PM1 trades$500 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-19
07-13
10-16
11-05
01-07
01-15
04-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 204 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
27.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.16/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L22.5 / M36.7 / H40.8