@maozaiccc

#35,69358

0x3f9a7eef5d9e379fa10a7be190ab09130fafed29

~44d· 35 markets · 442 tradesVol: $170,4582026-10-08 01:43:30
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

58
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

37% (11/30)3.3/20
1.79x (win $15,518 / loss $8,692)12.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.24715/15
Sortino 6.54210/10
$+0.2726 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 3565 (30 markets)0/10
9/23 profitable days (39%)2.3/10
Max DD 45% of peak ($5,085 / $11,206)4.9/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+3,237
Contrarian
52% entries < $0.55

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#8,390$3,363Vol: $136,203
₿ CRYPTO#1,426,091$-55Vol: $5,744
⚽ SPORTS#1,567,695$-34Vol: $3,648
📈 ECONOMICS#0$0Vol: $763
💰 FINANCE#628,352$-50Vol: $197

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$3,237
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$170,458
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
35
total markets
Trades
136B / 306S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~44d

Periods

#2
Today
$-8
Vol: $0
Week
$-24
Vol: $2,437
Month
$-23
Vol: $4,281
All Time
$3,237
Vol: $170,458

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
37%
11W / 19L events
Realized PnL
$3,237
Win Rate
37%
11W / 19L
Profit Factor
1.79x
Avg Win
$1,411
Avg Loss
$-483

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $15,402 (4.75817572952901% of PnL)

Top Winners

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$10,979
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$2,869
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?$1,554
Sentient FDV above $800M one day after launch?$66
ETHGAS FDV above $100M one day after launch?$16
Elsa FDV above $50M one day after launch?$12
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$6
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?$6
Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?$5
Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?$4

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-2,812
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$-2,240
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$-1,385
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?$-1,025
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$-400
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$-322
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?$-263
Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch?$-99
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$-31
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$-26

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.115
Sortino
0.303
HHI
2014
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.213
Kelly %
15.5%
Half-Kelly
7.7%
Top-1 market
22.3%
Top-5 markets
94.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
13.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.1h
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.63
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.9

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 803s — normal for humanCV 1.63 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours18/24 hours — extended activity2 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal18% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
17.43
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)15.4%
Mid (20-55c)36.8%
High (>55c)47.8%

Sessions

#12
5/29/2026, 5:41:06 AM2 trades$50,0000 min
5/24/2026, 2:11:11 PM10 trades$3,2840 min
5/25/2026, 7:17:18 AM31 trades$2,8731 min
4/7/2026, 7:03:47 AM10 trades$2,7155 min
4/8/2026, 2:50:05 PM11 trades$2,5124 min
4/4/2026, 3:44:29 PM7 trades$2,3832 min
4/6/2026, 1:16:03 PM4 trades$2,2951 min
4/3/2026, 2:29:35 AM16 trades$2,1000 min
3/27/2026, 10:46:27 AM1 trades$2,1000 min
3/22/2026, 3:42:05 AM1 trades$1,9990 min
5/22/2026, 9:41:58 AM11 trades$1,6760 min
5/24/2026, 12:52:05 PM9 trades$1,6730 min
5/23/2026, 4:18:55 PM2 trades$1,6580 min
4/8/2026, 7:51:25 AM11 trades$1,5410 min
4/9/2026, 3:43:01 AM4 trades$1,4850 min
4/9/2026, 9:53:39 AM2 trades$1,4850 min
4/19/2026, 3:25:38 PM13 trades$1,4400 min
4/8/2026, 7:42:45 AM29 trades$1,2844 min
4/8/2026, 8:11:33 AM9 trades$1,2542 min
4/16/2026, 4:28:10 AM2 trades$1,2000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-13
01-21
01-28
02-27
04-09
05-22
05-25
06-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 34 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
69.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 17.43/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L15.4 / M36.8 / H47.8