@0x405e…de7e

24

0x405e39c9e9e8884b869d5616a71bddf76001de7e

~115d· 87 markets · 451 trades2026-10-08 03:44:29
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

24
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

61% (49/80)15.6/20
0.43x (win $1,784 / loss $4,169)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.1300/15
Sortino -4.3300/10
$-0.1554 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 3956 (80 markets)0/10
37/58 profitable days (64%)8.4/10
Max DD 1029% of peak ($2,690 / $262)0/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 61%
Contrarian
56% entries < $0.55
Consistent
37/58 profitable days
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,680
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$15,345
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
87
total markets
Trades
270B / 181S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~115d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
61%
49W / 31L events
Realized PnL
$-2,680
Win Rate
61%
49W / 31L
Profit Factor
0.43x
Avg Win
$36
Avg Loss
$-134

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $722 (0.26928889966973296% of PnL)

Top Winners

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$389
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on October 27?$243
Canton FDV above $3B one day after launch?$90
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31? $83
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$82
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$80
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 by February 28, 2025?$72
Over $2M committed to the Makina public sale?$68
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on October 27?$51
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$48

Top Losers

Over $6M committed to the Printr public sale?$-729
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$-692
Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?$-688
Circle IPO in 2025?$-361
Over $20M committed to the Paystream raise on MetaDAO?$-334
Aztec FDV above $500M one day after launch?$-223
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$-160
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in December?$-125
Linea airdrop in Q2 2025?$-111
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?$-109

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.214
Sortino
-0.172
HHI
244
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.172
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.7%
Top-5 markets
24.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.2h
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.55
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.1

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 246s — normal for humanCV 1.55 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal70% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.94
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)22.2%
Mid (20-55c)34.1%
High (>55c)43.7%

Sessions

#12
5/9/2026, 7:02:18 PM6 trades$85,0001 min
4/29/2026, 3:25:42 PM1 trades$7290 min
11/10/2025, 1:20:10 PM1 trades$6910 min
11/7/2025, 9:36:51 AM3 trades$6883 min
12/25/2025, 10:43:37 AM2 trades$6160 min
11/25/2025, 7:11:59 AM3 trades$5741 min
5/15/2026, 6:51:09 PM8 trades$5702 min
12/16/2025, 4:40:25 PM2 trades$4990 min
2/13/2026, 4:44:13 AM1 trades$4860 min
11/3/2025, 11:45:15 PM1 trades$4760 min
10/27/2025, 10:18:55 AM2 trades$4223 min
10/26/2025, 10:04:15 PM9 trades$4102 min
3/25/2025, 8:27:37 AM3 trades$4011 min
10/26/2025, 7:55:19 PM3 trades$3772 min
2/9/2026, 11:15:51 AM1 trades$3550 min
5/15/2026, 7:39:43 PM3 trades$3441 min
5/19/2026, 3:37:29 PM1 trades$3260 min
10/3/2026, 4:24:15 AM16 trades$3151 min
10/24/2025, 11:07:49 AM4 trades$2603 min
12/1/2025, 7:50:34 AM1 trades$2550 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-22
12-25
03-01
03-30
10-26
11-25
04-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 144 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.94/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L22.2 / M34.1 / H43.7