@0x40fe57…9476

#3,038,10615

0x40fe57965a53d6efde2c678b8b442bb76c3a3bfd

~197d· 400 markets · 2216 tradesVol: $380,3382026-08-06 06:22:40
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

15
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

40% (141/353)5/20
0.67x (win $3,962 / loss $5,897)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.8670/15
Sortino -2.1540/10
$-0.0380 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 936 (353 markets)7.8/10
54/139 profitable days (39%)2.2/10
Max DD 1473% of peak ($2,895 / $196)0/10

Badges

4
Lottery Player
42% entries < $0.20
Whale
$50,940 invested
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
📈 ECONOMICS#678,715$-861Vol: $169,969
🎭 CULTURE#812,601$-1,310Vol: $96,059
💰 FINANCE#654,065$-921Vol: $54,766
⚽ SPORTS#284,052$10Vol: $19,783
🏛️ POLITICS#76,583$70Vol: $18,622
₿ CRYPTO#1,602,049$-623Vol: $18,573
💻 TECH#256,010$-416Vol: $2,565

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-4,052
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$380,338
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
400
total markets
Trades
1154B / 1062S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~197d

Periods

#2
Today
$3
Vol: $0
Week
$-65
Vol: $2,431
Month
$-36
Vol: $3,162
All Time
$-4,052
Vol: $380,338

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
40%
141W / 212L events
Realized PnL
$-4,052
Win Rate
40%
141W / 212L
Profit Factor
0.67x
Avg Win
$28
Avg Loss
$-29

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,561 (0.38533704218364734% of PnL)

Top Winners

No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$854
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$427
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$280
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$176
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$145
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$137
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$128
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?$121
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$113
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$106

Top Losers

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$-602
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$-409
Will Vaibhav Sooryavanshi be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?$-350
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$-316
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?$-261
Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?$-189
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?$-188
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$-186
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?$-150
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$-150

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.097
Sortino
-0.092
HHI
1781
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.038
Kelly %
6.7%
Half-Kelly
3.3%
Top-1 market
40.7%
Top-5 markets
57.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.81
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.1

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 600s — normal for humanCV 4.81 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock8 trades/day — normal1.4 markets/day — normal22% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.38
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)41.8%
Mid (20-55c)28.3%
High (>55c)29.9%

Sessions

#12
4/8/2026, 3:21:05 AM6 trades$9,8560 min
6/18/2026, 9:42:29 PM39 trades$4,1850 min
11/11/2025, 4:26:42 PM1 trades$3,3230 min
7/12/2026, 4:38:32 AM17 trades$2,8422 min
12/10/2025, 7:18:56 PM4 trades$2,3947 min
5/19/2026, 6:37:32 PM59 trades$1,97610 min
11/13/2025, 7:10:08 PM2 trades$1,5041 min
4/26/2026, 9:03:00 AM20 trades$1,4650 min
4/22/2026, 5:14:36 AM22 trades$1,2780 min
6/21/2026, 8:01:08 AM16 trades$1,2370 min
6/19/2026, 9:11:01 PM18 trades$1,2282 min
11/12/2025, 11:53:14 AM1 trades$1,1420 min
4/21/2026, 8:55:04 PM18 trades$1,1361 min
11/11/2025, 7:58:48 PM5 trades$1,0997 min
11/1/2025, 3:48:25 PM1 trades$1,0840 min
10/30/2025, 4:19:41 PM1 trades$1,0000 min
3/9/2026, 9:09:59 PM1 trades$1,0000 min
11/1/2025, 3:39:21 PM1 trades$9560 min
11/12/2025, 11:45:14 AM1 trades$9170 min
4/22/2026, 7:02:58 PM12 trades$8932 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-28
12-23
01-18
02-15
03-22
05-02
08-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 128 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
47.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.38/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L41.8 / M28.3 / H29.9