@Tapioca44

#2,995,32127

0x462751476dab5e9fb68bc6cf6df6d2f0b12eb4b0

~76d· 86 markets · 188 tradesVol: $31,2932026-10-08 03:44:19
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

27
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

54% (45/84)11.8/20
0.58x (win $3,210 / loss $5,523)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.5090/15
Sortino -3.7180/10
$-0.2175 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 533 (84 markets)9.8/10
33/62 profitable days (53%)5.8/10
Max DD 420% of peak ($3,036 / $723)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
31% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

3
⚽ SPORTS#1,866,079$-757Vol: $30,767
📈 ECONOMICS#637,211$-20Vol: $282
₿ CRYPTO#1,062,476$-6Vol: $244

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-783
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$31,293
Total Redeem
$10
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
86
total markets
Trades
157B / 31S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~76d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $169
Week
$-1
Vol: $169
Month
$-103
Vol: $380
All Time
$-783
Vol: $31,293

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
54%
45W / 39L events
Realized PnL
$-783
Win Rate
54%
45W / 39L
Profit Factor
0.58x
Avg Win
$71
Avg Loss
$-145

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $652 (0.8330501871319632% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$343
Spread: Patriots (-6.5)$170
Jets vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5$139
Steelers vs. Lions: O/U 49.5$133
Will the Indiana Pacers win the Eastern Conference?$132
Patriots vs. Saints$127
Vikings vs. Bears$115
Falcons vs. Colts: O/U 48.5$99
Packers vs. Lions: O/U 48.5$98
Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)$96

Top Losers

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,200
Knicks vs. Spurs$-400
Falcons vs. Cardinals: O/U 47.5$-300
Lakers vs. Rockets$-300
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)$-204
Jaguars vs. Broncos: O/U 45.5$-200
Colts vs. Steelers: O/U 49.5$-200
49ers vs. Rams$-200
Knicks vs. Spurs$-200
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-191

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.182
Sortino
-0.169
HHI
302
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.207
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11%
Top-5 markets
27.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.9h
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.23
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.8

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 90s — normal for humanCV 1.23 — diverse sizes (human-like)27% night trades — never sleeps21/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal36% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.64
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)31.2%
Mid (20-55c)30.6%
High (>55c)38.2%

Sessions

#12
10/9/2025, 11:59:10 AM2 trades$1,0972 min
7/9/2026, 1:31:55 PM2 trades$9320 min
2/8/2026, 2:34:21 AM5 trades$6941 min
10/12/2025, 10:27:48 AM1 trades$5180 min
10/6/2025, 2:11:01 PM1 trades$5000 min
10/2/2025, 12:23:33 PM2 trades$4001 min
10/1/2025, 8:45:05 AM2 trades$3001 min
10/12/2025, 2:35:40 PM2 trades$3001 min
10/14/2025, 2:40:23 PM3 trades$3004 min
10/25/2025, 4:19:59 PM2 trades$3002 min
12/19/2025, 7:40:01 AM2 trades$3004 min
1/12/2025, 11:21:09 AM2 trades$2991 min
10/6/2025, 4:38:59 AM4 trades$2490 min
1/30/2026, 6:57:10 AM1 trades$2200 min
11/29/2025, 5:13:35 AM2 trades$2070 min
10/26/2025, 5:42:47 AM2 trades$2001 min
11/2/2025, 2:31:19 AM1 trades$2000 min
11/10/2025, 12:17:04 PM1 trades$2000 min
11/29/2025, 5:03:59 AM2 trades$2001 min
12/7/2025, 8:54:59 AM2 trades$2001 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-20
05-13
10-02
10-26
11-26
01-06
07-10

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 555 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
16.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.64/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L31.2 / M30.6 / H38.2