@QMG-MACRO

#25,10889

0x4755072010b0a6963d5140b4c34ba6a544664338

~128d· 80 markets · 2847 tradesVol: $847,2892026-08-06 04:42:26
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

89
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

91% (63/69)20/20
14.82x (win $14,264 / loss $962)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 7.61315/15
Sortino 42.52110/10
$+0.0221 per $1 invested1.1/10
HHI 1005 (69 markets)7.5/10
41/43 profitable days (95%)10/10
Max DD 7% of peak ($911 / $13,301)10/10

Badges

10
Sniper
Win rate 91%
Profitable
PnL $+4,936
DCA Master
Avg 50.2 entries/market
Whale
$602,109 invested
Consistent
41/43 profitable days
High Roller
$4,363/day
Cool Head
Max DD 7%
Win Streak
37 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
71% maker orders

Categories

5
📈 ECONOMICS#1,090$4,731Vol: $779,088
💰 FINANCE#11,249$233Vol: $44,304
🏛️ POLITICS#84,855$57Vol: $11,533
🎭 CULTURE#44,557$24Vol: $7,363
SPORTS#250,297$15Vol: $5,000

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$5,061
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$847,289
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
80
total markets
Trades
1735B / 1112S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~128d

Periods

#2
Today
$-45
Vol: $0
Week
$183
Vol: $33,429
Month
$233
Vol: $35,638
All Time
$5,061
Vol: $847,289

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
91%
63W / 6L events
Realized PnL
$4,936
Win Rate
91%
63W / 6L
Profit Factor
14.82x
Avg Win
$226
Avg Loss
$-192

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,235 (1.2631512843367638% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$3,428
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$1,405
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1,403
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$1,260
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$1,108
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$596
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?$521
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?$465
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?$464
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$371

Top Losers

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$-911
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?$-40

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.394
Sortino
inf
HHI
1535
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.016
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
29.1%
Top-5 markets
74.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
20.6
Active
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.94
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.9

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 182s — normal for humanCV 2.94 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock21 trades/day — high frequency0.6 markets/day — normal71% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
50.2
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)11.6%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)88.4%

Sessions

#12
4/29/2026, 6:27:06 PM10 trades$56,0995 min
3/20/2026, 10:39:45 AM39 trades$27,47824 min
3/20/2026, 10:24:03 AM27 trades$13,4624 min
6/13/2026, 4:47:04 PM7 trades$12,4532 min
6/15/2026, 5:41:46 PM5 trades$10,0001 min
7/27/2026, 11:53:54 AM4 trades$10,0001 min
4/17/2026, 2:28:58 PM2 trades$9,9300 min
7/25/2026, 4:47:03 AM5 trades$9,0002 min
4/15/2026, 2:43:36 PM6 trades$8,4773 min
6/16/2026, 8:46:40 AM6 trades$8,3992 min
6/20/2026, 12:45:31 PM19 trades$8,1297 min
6/28/2026, 10:11:25 PM5 trades$7,6650 min
6/12/2026, 8:49:39 AM34 trades$7,47012 min
4/8/2026, 12:23:43 PM12 trades$7,3864 min
7/29/2026, 8:14:09 PM12 trades$7,2371 min
5/21/2026, 4:27:01 PM64 trades$7,2198 min
5/28/2026, 7:22:32 PM21 trades$7,0555 min
8/4/2026, 9:21:42 AM4 trades$6,8525 min
4/29/2026, 6:00:32 PM55 trades$6,69117 min
4/10/2026, 10:48:31 AM34 trades$6,63110 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-30
04-29
05-13
05-24
06-12
07-02
07-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 8 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 50.2/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L11.6 / M0 / H88.4