@argosnotice

#154,85347

0x47bf899960df975e0f935fc8997c0da4928825b3

~16d· 13 markets · 42 tradesVol: $29,1052026-10-08 01:43:42
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

47
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

83% (10/12)20/20
1.09x (win $1,107 / loss $1,020)3.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.4258/15
Sortino 0.5005/10
$+0.0046 per $1 invested0.2/10
HHI 2753 (12 markets)0/10
9/11 profitable days (82%)10/10
Max DD 1151% of peak ($1,000 / $87)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 83%
Profitable
PnL $+249
Consistent
9/11 profitable days
Win Streak
8 wins in a row

Categories

2
₿ CRYPTO#59,037$214Vol: $26,835
💰 FINANCE#31,641$34Vol: $2,270

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$248
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$29,105
Total Redeem
$380
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
13
total markets
Trades
35B / 7S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~16d

Periods

#2
Week
$18
Vol: $0
Month
$23
Vol: $1,127
All Time
$248
Vol: $29,105

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
83%
10W / 2L events
Realized PnL
$249
Win Rate
83%
10W / 2L
Profit Factor
1.09x
Avg Win
$111
Avg Loss
$-510

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $762 (3.058677155241612% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?$393
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?$208
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?$161
Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?$132
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$123
Will Ethereum hit $4,500.00 by March 31?$33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?$24
Ethereum all time high in 2024?$22
Ethereum all time high by March 31, 2026?$10
Will Bitcoin reach $110k in April?$0

Top Losers

Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by January 31, 2025?$-1,000
Bitcoin all time high by June 30?$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.021
Sortino
0.011
HHI
2453
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.005
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
41.4%
Top-5 markets
82.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
13/24
Extended
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.0h
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.32
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
20
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.1

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 180s — normal for humanCV 1.32 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern13/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal14% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.75
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)100%

Sessions

#12
3/26/2026, 5:32:57 PM6 trades$8,76911 min
6/5/2026, 11:54:45 PM2 trades$3,9710 min
2/1/2026, 5:50:30 PM1 trades$2,8790 min
2/1/2026, 6:01:00 PM3 trades$2,1296 min
9/1/2026, 6:56:27 PM1 trades$1,7910 min
11/21/2025, 5:32:19 PM1 trades$1,4580 min
10/10/2025, 3:31:06 PM1 trades$1,2500 min
12/25/2024, 2:58:30 PM2 trades$9220 min
12/20/2024, 1:11:48 PM2 trades$9002 min
11/22/2025, 3:15:21 AM1 trades$8430 min
4/2/2026, 3:24:37 PM8 trades$6620 min
11/22/2025, 4:04:19 AM1 trades$6150 min
8/26/2026, 11:03:31 AM1 trades$5190 min
1/11/2025, 12:57:41 PM2 trades$4501 min
2/14/2025, 7:45:12 PM1 trades$3300 min
1/11/2025, 6:00:49 PM1 trades$2660 min
1/10/2025, 3:51:29 PM5 trades$1594 min
1/11/2025, 12:12:38 AM1 trades$1240 min
5/8/2025, 5:22:17 AM1 trades$200 min
4/3/2025, 5:40:10 AM1 trades$200 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-25
01-11
02-14
04-03
05-08
11-21
11-22
02-01
03-26
04-02
06-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 17 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
16.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.75/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M0 / H100