@0x497B4c…9566

#3,042,16312

0x497b4c6496845dc10e1fa57aeae2bd0c9980717e

~43d· 85 markets · 430 tradesVol: $422,8612026-08-06 07:09:51
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

12
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

32% (25/77)1.2/20
0.99x (win $26,760 / loss $27,087)2.3/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.0560/15
Sortino -0.1030/10
$-0.0036 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1114 (77 markets)6.9/10
12/32 profitable days (38%)1.9/10
Max DD 118% of peak ($12,300 / $10,403)0/10

Badges

2
Contrarian
66% entries < $0.55
Whale
$89,688 invested

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#1,635,145$-5,057Vol: $273,090
🎭 CULTURE#812,582$-1,299Vol: $90,847
💰 FINANCE#3,119$1,489Vol: $40,559
📈 ECONOMICS#662,697$-114Vol: $12,227
⚽ SPORTS#60,359$442Vol: $5,613
₿ CRYPTO#1,309,416$-27Vol: $526

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-4,566
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$422,861
Total Redeem
$187
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
85
total markets
Trades
238B / 192S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~43d

Periods

#2
Today
$-50
Vol: $0
Week
$109
Vol: $0
Month
$112
Vol: $0
All Time
$-4,566
Vol: $422,861

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
32%
25W / 52L events
Realized PnL
$-4,566
Win Rate
32%
25W / 52L
Profit Factor
0.99x
Avg Win
$1,070
Avg Loss
$-521

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $20,512 (4.492121474921215% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$15,991
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 13?$2,551
Will France win on 2026-06-16?$1,970
US strikes Iran by March 9, 2026?$1,300
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$909
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$706
Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March?$498
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?$412
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$396
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 13, 2026?$357

Top Losers

US forces enter Iran by December 31?$-5,921
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?$-5,241
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$-3,200
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?$-3,120
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?$-2,298
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$-670
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?$-627
Will annual inflation increase by 3.2% in March?$-620
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 1?$-600
Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.8% in March?$-429

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.003
Sortino
-0.005
HHI
1463
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.003
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
22.7%
Top-5 markets
76.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
11.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.0h
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.07
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.2

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 666s — normal for humanCV 2.07 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours21/24 hours — extended activity4 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal8% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.86
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)27.3%
Mid (20-55c)39.1%
High (>55c)33.6%

Sessions

#12
3/19/2026, 7:15:53 PM2 trades$10,2290 min
3/29/2026, 5:40:32 PM3 trades$9,0573 min
3/9/2026, 1:59:57 AM4 trades$7,5394 min
3/29/2026, 7:59:00 PM1 trades$6,2050 min
4/1/2026, 5:20:05 PM2 trades$5,3630 min
6/23/2026, 4:11:40 PM4 trades$4,7670 min
3/19/2026, 3:56:49 PM7 trades$4,7053 min
3/12/2026, 2:00:27 PM7 trades$4,5893 min
5/27/2026, 11:12:43 PM9 trades$4,3110 min
3/19/2026, 7:07:21 PM1 trades$4,0270 min
5/2/2026, 2:00:10 PM2 trades$4,0000 min
5/21/2026, 3:47:12 PM4 trades$4,0000 min
3/30/2026, 9:03:29 PM1 trades$3,1150 min
3/19/2026, 5:40:41 PM2 trades$2,8260 min
3/10/2026, 8:31:13 PM3 trades$2,7843 min
3/18/2026, 11:35:19 PM1 trades$2,6820 min
3/12/2026, 2:52:59 PM1 trades$2,6030 min
3/14/2026, 5:35:59 AM1 trades$2,3000 min
2/28/2026, 3:05:37 PM1 trades$2,2810 min
3/13/2026, 6:41:51 PM1 trades$2,2430 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-27
03-08
03-13
03-18
03-27
05-16
06-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 74 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
44.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.86/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L27.3 / M39.1 / H33.6