@kaiajerry
#2,463,985250x4a0658c9afe83b10d4e617957e40aa625be4bf30
~26d· 17 markets · 140 tradesVol: $97,4902026-10-02 04:37:00
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
25
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
55% (6/11)12.3/20
0.68x (win $6,729 / loss $9,859)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.6750/15
Sortino -3.0570/10
$-0.0931 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1127 (11 markets)6.9/10
6/11 profitable days (55%)6.1/10
Max DD 315% of peak ($4,588 / $1,458)0/10
Badges
2Profitable
PnL $+395
DCA Master
Avg 7.8 entries/market
Categories
6🌤️ WEATHER#294,761$-200Vol: $40,166
🏛️ POLITICS#41,470$234Vol: $29,689
💰 FINANCE#661,941$-700Vol: $8,083
⚽ SPORTS#80,233$239Vol: $6,780
₿ CRYPTO#1,513,008$-111Vol: $6,239
📈 ECONOMICS#6,007$336Vol: $3,200
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-62
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$97,490
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
17
total markets
Trades
83B / 57S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~26d
Periods
#2Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$-22
Vol: $2,956
Month
$-108
Vol: $18,519
All Time
$-62
Vol: $97,490
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
55%
6W / 5L events
Realized PnL
$395
Win Rate
55%
6W / 5L
Profit Factor
0.68x
Avg Win
$1,121
Avg Loss
$-3,286
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,527 (13.986511109986335% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$2,135
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$1,992
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?$1,400
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$1,008
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$176
Will MegaETH launch a token by March 31, 2026?$18
Top Losers
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-4,087
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-3,729
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?$-2,043
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.134
Sortino
-0.261
HHI
989
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.102
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
17.3%
Top-5 markets
63.2%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.0h
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.25
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.7
Bot Detection
#610
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 507s — normal for humanCV 1.25 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours21/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal56% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 15:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
7.82
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)3.6%
Mid (20-55c)24.1%
High (>55c)72.3%
Sessions
#127/23/2026, 3:21:40 PM13 trades$4,2352 min
6/9/2026, 3:40:46 AM2 trades$3,5820 min
8/7/2026, 6:31:01 AM2 trades$2,3980 min
7/2/2026, 6:59:13 AM3 trades$2,1150 min
5/6/2026, 6:23:30 AM2 trades$2,0780 min
6/16/2026, 3:08:14 PM13 trades$2,0302 min
4/9/2026, 6:56:07 AM3 trades$1,9340 min
7/21/2026, 11:08:33 AM14 trades$1,9231 min
6/9/2026, 9:37:21 AM1 trades$1,7570 min
5/11/2026, 3:56:36 AM6 trades$1,7400 min
4/28/2026, 9:15:34 AM2 trades$1,7030 min
5/15/2026, 2:53:21 AM2 trades$1,6660 min
6/2/2026, 2:07:42 PM2 trades$1,5683 min
6/2/2026, 1:27:02 AM1 trades$1,5520 min
5/25/2026, 7:32:24 AM1 trades$1,5330 min
5/27/2026, 7:56:36 PM6 trades$1,2169 min
7/13/2026, 3:15:11 PM3 trades$1,2062 min
7/14/2026, 6:27:23 AM2 trades$1,1810 min
4/8/2026, 6:00:31 AM2 trades$1,1500 min
4/20/2026, 3:33:04 AM4 trades$1,1420 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-29
05-06
05-11
05-25
06-09
06-16
06-18
07-13
07-14
07-23
08-07
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 35 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
9.1% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.82/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.6 / M24.1 / H72.3