@milchi03

#2,913,15272

0x4a4281aad8a247eed86469b3b8a6e9f094d9fab9

~182d· 292 markets · 31373 tradesVol: $5,267,5902026-08-06 05:29:59
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

72
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

46% (76/167)7.8/20
2.23x (win $1,620 / loss $727)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.64415/15
Sortino 24.80310/10
$+0.0266 per $1 invested1.3/10
HHI 543 (167 markets)9.8/10
20/46 profitable days (43%)3.4/10
Max DD 15% of peak ($137 / $893)10/10

Badges

6
Lottery Player
66% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 90.9 entries/market
Cool Head
Max DD 15%
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
96% maker orders

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#1,606,796$-701Vol: $3,026,929
SPORTS#1,619,163$-60Vol: $1,904,291
🎭 CULTURE#55,416$16Vol: $324,333
📈 ECONOMICS#585,700$-7Vol: $6,402
💰 FINANCE#515,581$-3Vol: $2,506
CRYPTO#484,450$0Vol: $63

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-873
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,267,590
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
292
total markets
Trades
27478B / 3895S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~182d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $1,673
Week
$4
Vol: $36,096
Month
$21
Vol: $40,036
All Time
$-873
Vol: $5,267,590

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
46%
77W / 90L events
Realized PnL
$-882
Win Rate
46%
77W / 90L
Profit Factor
2.23x
Avg Win
$21
Avg Loss
$-8

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $810 (0.9182053259538175% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?$312
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$300
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$197
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$195
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$156
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$80
Games Total: O/U 2.5$51
Games Total: O/U 2.5$31
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?$31
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner$15

Top Losers

Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?$-171
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?$-50
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner$-49
Games Total: O/U 2.5$-42
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner$-39
First Blood in Game 2?$-30
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?$-30
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?$-22
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner$-18
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?$-17

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.240
Sortino
1.070
HHI
99
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.085
Kelly %
7.0%
Half-Kelly
3.5%
Top-1 market
9.3%
Top-5 markets
13.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
100.6
Very active
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
9.1m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
13.85
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
26 min
Avg Trades / Session
55.6

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 129s — normal for humanCV 13.85 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock101 trades/day — automation0.9 markets/day — normal96% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
90.86
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)66%
Mid (20-55c)1.1%
High (>55c)32.9%

Sessions

#12
5/6/2026, 5:39:21 PM136 trades$18,5894 min
5/19/2026, 2:10:45 PM118 trades$16,4481 min
5/6/2026, 5:16:41 PM34 trades$7,1921 min
6/11/2026, 10:51:09 PM91 trades$6,7691 min
7/14/2026, 9:27:05 PM33 trades$2,37224 min
3/30/2026, 12:25:06 PM1084 trades$1,918399 min
6/6/2026, 6:15:07 PM27 trades$1,3880 min
4/1/2026, 7:29:31 AM8 trades$1,1094 min
5/16/2026, 9:22:20 PM71 trades$91032 min
7/14/2026, 8:29:55 PM33 trades$57623 min
4/29/2026, 12:52:36 PM24 trades$56811 min
5/4/2026, 2:07:54 PM11 trades$5501 min
5/2/2026, 4:17:12 PM11 trades$5244 min
3/29/2026, 6:28:54 PM300 trades$505171 min
4/2/2026, 6:21:33 AM8 trades$4808 min
5/16/2026, 10:56:55 PM1 trades$4710 min
6/7/2026, 1:38:01 PM1 trades$4000 min
6/24/2026, 8:28:50 AM7 trades$39711 min
5/16/2026, 10:25:24 PM10 trades$3347 min
6/7/2026, 7:33:46 PM2 trades$3180 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-27
10-27
12-08
01-15
03-01
03-30
04-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 64 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
12.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 90.86/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L66 / M1.1 / H32.9