@aniceguy

#3,137,50820

0x4bbfbfbc5ab05dd48a6b74a9aab57c4b86f0517e

~119d· 3217 markets · 7802 tradesVol: $189,8322026-10-03 12:17:05
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

20
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

41% (1321/3196)5.7/20
0.99x (win $25,063 / loss $25,254)2.4/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.2950/15
Sortino -0.4440/10
$-0.0061 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 13 (3196 markets)10/10
44/115 profitable days (38%)2.1/10
Max DD 114% of peak ($1,521 / $1,329)0/10

Badges

3
Contrarian
96% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
₿ CRYPTO#1,719,476$-4,136Vol: $168,604
🏛️ POLITICS#1,479,777$-52Vol: $6,813
🎭 CULTURE#786,490$-93Vol: $6,577
📈 ECONOMICS#665,453$-62Vol: $5,437
⚽ SPORTS#272,655$11Vol: $1,755
📢 MENTIONS#129,097$-8Vol: $273
💰 FINANCE#578,692$-10Vol: $166
🌤️ WEATHER#262,010$-20Vol: $135
💻 TECH#16,416$14Vol: $47

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-4,364
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$189,832
Total Redeem
$5,913
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
3217
total markets
Trades
3523B / 4279S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~119d

Periods

#2
Today
$2
Vol: $0
Week
$-48
Vol: $1,830
Month
$-231
Vol: $15,700
All Time
$-4,364
Vol: $189,832

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
41%
1321W / 1872L events
Realized PnL
$-4,315
Win Rate
41%
1321W / 1872L
Profit Factor
0.99x
Avg Win
$19
Avg Loss
$-14

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $629 (0.1457442124533636% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?$266
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$207
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$156
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$137
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$115
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$103
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$98
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$92
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$87
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$86

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$-80
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$-72
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$-60
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$-60
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$-60

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.015
Sortino
-0.022
HHI
4
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.006
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.2%
Top-5 markets
0.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
34.1
Active
Markets / Day
14.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
34.7m
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.63
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
11 min
Avg Trades / Session
18.5

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 328s — normal for humanCV 0.63 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock34 trades/day — high frequency14 markets/day — mass coverage25% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.44
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)11.4%
Mid (20-55c)84.5%
High (>55c)4.1%

Sessions

#12
8/31/2026, 12:55:49 PM12 trades$1,0131 min
9/4/2026, 3:13:21 PM2 trades$8330 min
6/4/2026, 2:37:39 PM19 trades$4133 min
6/4/2026, 7:37:51 AM51 trades$34919 min
6/4/2026, 10:27:58 AM34 trades$33718 min
6/4/2026, 12:42:33 PM39 trades$32418 min
6/13/2026, 8:08:25 AM42 trades$32018 min
6/4/2026, 2:22:31 PM25 trades$28810 min
9/8/2026, 4:46:49 AM7 trades$2575 min
6/5/2026, 7:11:13 PM21 trades$25315 min
6/13/2026, 2:43:43 AM24 trades$24317 min
6/10/2026, 6:37:03 AM24 trades$2438 min
5/6/2026, 1:25:36 PM39 trades$23215 min
6/12/2026, 1:27:46 PM15 trades$22818 min
7/4/2026, 4:47:19 AM6 trades$2246 min
6/5/2026, 4:59:10 AM7 trades$2061 min
6/4/2026, 9:30:36 AM24 trades$20315 min
6/13/2026, 3:33:51 PM30 trades$20123 min
6/12/2026, 5:11:25 PM18 trades$19614 min
2/22/2026, 10:50:12 AM9 trades$19024 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-05
02-24
03-25
05-06
06-15
07-14
09-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 132 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
54.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.44/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L11.4 / M84.5 / H4.1