@danikonsens

#62,51322

0x51a2df90590cc34f4f7da756f7326b26a5ca051b

~138d· 453 markets · 2471 tradesVol: $81,2172026-10-08 04:47:47
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

22
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

41% (175/422)5.7/20
0.99x (win $7,458 / loss $7,549)2.3/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.1100/15
Sortino -0.1630/10
$-0.0051 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 95 (422 markets)10/10
49/108 profitable days (45%)3.8/10
Max DD 107% of peak ($1,310 / $1,219)0/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+1,216
Contrarian
57% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
9 wins in a row

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#42,175$228Vol: $39,292
⚽ SPORTS#56,547$503Vol: $31,332
🎭 CULTURE#7,261$574Vol: $9,654
📈 ECONOMICS#7,427$240Vol: $940

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,544
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$81,217
Total Redeem
$663
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
453
total markets
Trades
1040B / 1431S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~138d

Periods

#2
Today
$4
Vol: $0
Week
$-73
Vol: $685
Month
$146
Vol: $3,383
All Time
$1,544
Vol: $81,217

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
42%
176W / 246L events
Realized PnL
$1,216
Win Rate
42%
176W / 246L
Profit Factor
0.99x
Avg Win
$43
Avg Loss
$-38

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,592 (1.3096816648844285% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be 150 points or greater?$890
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$474
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?$229
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$208
Will Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026?$187
Ironi Ness Ziona vs. Hapoel Galil Elyon$172
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)$158
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?$157
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?$150
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?$144

Top Losers

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?$-629
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?$-250
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$-209
Will Erling Haaland win the Bronze Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-189
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$-180
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?$-168
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-165
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?$-160
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-159
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-120

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.006
Sortino
-0.008
HHI
93
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.005
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.1%
Top-5 markets
12.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
14.0
Active
Markets / Day
2.6
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.4h
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.15
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
13.3

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 139s — normal for humanCV 1.15 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern21/24 hours — extended activity14 trades/day — very active2.6 markets/day — normal36% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.38
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)24.7%
Mid (20-55c)32.8%
High (>55c)42.5%

Sessions

#12
5/16/2026, 10:43:08 PM27 trades$1,36614 min
7/31/2026, 8:52:32 AM18 trades$6829 min
5/6/2026, 10:21:22 AM32 trades$64617 min
7/27/2026, 4:55:09 PM10 trades$6130 min
5/12/2026, 6:53:49 PM14 trades$5531 min
6/7/2026, 8:33:51 PM39 trades$5325 min
4/19/2026, 1:19:48 PM26 trades$5325 min
7/28/2026, 11:16:55 AM4 trades$5262 min
7/14/2026, 4:37:59 PM19 trades$4784 min
5/31/2026, 10:28:15 AM9 trades$4412 min
5/25/2026, 1:40:36 PM16 trades$3972 min
4/30/2026, 11:36:50 PM22 trades$36920 min
5/14/2026, 6:55:51 AM29 trades$36111 min
4/15/2026, 7:42:08 PM14 trades$3544 min
5/9/2026, 10:30:16 PM17 trades$34711 min
5/7/2026, 9:19:57 PM18 trades$3457 min
4/25/2026, 10:16:30 PM11 trades$3412 min
7/9/2026, 7:37:52 PM2 trades$3330 min
4/25/2026, 10:35:28 PM15 trades$3339 min
6/9/2026, 8:26:04 PM12 trades$3301 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-05
03-30
04-25
05-14
06-10
07-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 55 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
57.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.38/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L24.7 / M32.8 / H42.5