@HomeRunHazard

#8154

0x5268527977f700f9bf9b6d5cd843859e4e70135d

~163d· 6169 markets · 314728 tradesVol: $405,973,5582026-10-07 08:34:11
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

54
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

52% (3207/6156)11/20
1.03x (win $2,574,770 / loss $2,503,932)2.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.73913.9/15
Sortino 1.03310/10
$+0.0113 per $1 invested0.6/10
HHI 10 (6156 markets)10/10
86/162 profitable days (53%)5.8/10
Max DD 74% of peak ($124,520 / $167,844)0/10

Badges

8
Profitable
PnL $+1,908,379
Contrarian
62% entries < $0.55
Diamond Hands
3% sells
DCA Master
Avg 5.2 entries/market
Whale
$6,253,514 invested
High Roller
$37,446/day
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

1
⚽ SPORTS#58$1,911,363Vol: $405,446,643

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,911,363
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$405,973,558
Total Redeem
$1,193
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
6169
total markets
Trades
22196B / 9695S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~163d

Periods

#2
Today
$83,719
Vol: $636,515
Week
$414,331
Vol: $30,145,776
Month
$782,858
Vol: $112,415,786
All Time
$1,911,363
Vol: $405,973,558

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
54%
4686W / 4010L events
Realized PnL
$1,908,379
Win Rate
54%
4686W / 4010L
Profit Factor
1.03x
Avg Win
$803
Avg Loss
$-855

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $69,143 (0.036231141831675834% of PnL)

Top Winners

Rams vs. Broncos: O/U 44.5$28,304
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sorana Cirstea$21,367
Lions vs. Panthers$19,472
Ravens vs. Cowboys$18,919
Spurs vs. Knicks$17,735
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5$16,786
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)$16,629
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hamad Medjedovic vs Joao Fonseca$15,907
Steelers vs. Browns: O/U 44.5$15,293
Rams vs. Broncos: O/U 46.5$15,218

Top Losers

Cowboys vs. Texans$-26,785
Vikings vs. Buccaneers$-25,294
Texans vs. Colts$-25,008
Rams vs. Broncos$-23,216
Spread: Chiefs (-10.5)$-20,486
China Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Alina Charaeva$-18,774
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays$-16,797
Spread: Lions (-7.5)$-15,789
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)$-15,432
Boston Red Sox vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5$-15,382

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.039
Sortino
0.051
HHI
9
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.011
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.5%
Top-5 markets
2.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1884.6
Very active
Markets / Day
36.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
10.8m
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.04
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
42 min
Avg Trades / Session
70.7

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 115s — normal for humanCV 3.04 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock1885 trades/day — automation37 markets/day — mass coverage7% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.2
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)14.3%
Mid (20-55c)47.6%
High (>55c)38.1%

Sessions

#12
9/27/2026, 4:58:44 PM160 trades$111,49861 min
6/9/2026, 10:34:06 PM402 trades$70,196286 min
6/11/2026, 12:45:52 AM294 trades$56,947153 min
10/4/2026, 6:59:04 PM56 trades$55,01922 min
9/20/2026, 6:36:56 PM110 trades$49,98574 min
10/4/2026, 5:52:53 PM87 trades$47,94338 min
9/28/2026, 12:08:33 AM17 trades$40,7273 min
9/27/2026, 9:00:50 PM39 trades$38,93913 min
6/12/2026, 11:50:34 PM127 trades$38,29998 min
6/14/2026, 6:05:31 PM111 trades$35,32159 min
6/6/2026, 12:07:24 AM305 trades$35,250164 min
10/4/2026, 7:29:01 PM69 trades$34,56114 min
9/27/2026, 6:04:59 PM39 trades$30,49318 min
6/7/2026, 6:49:18 PM160 trades$30,17577 min
9/27/2026, 10:09:11 PM34 trades$30,1048 min
6/13/2026, 2:22:39 PM64 trades$28,76484 min
9/27/2026, 10:38:47 PM38 trades$28,29514 min
6/7/2026, 8:11:52 PM128 trades$25,05953 min
9/27/2026, 1:53:09 AM7 trades$25,0005 min
9/29/2026, 12:22:51 AM26 trades$24,94613 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-24
05-26
06-22
07-19
08-15
09-11
10-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 108 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
3.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.2/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L14.3 / M47.6 / H38.1