OnlyLuckNoBrain2

@OnlyLuckNoBrain2

#17,14476

0x53685989c332366675257535f28abd6d17782d62

~135d· 2405 markets · 21747 tradesVol: $633,5722026-09-26 02:35:42
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

76
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

54% (1288/2404)11.8/20
1.30x (win $20,982 / loss $16,101)6.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.93215/15
Sortino 9.47410/10
$+0.1167 per $1 invested5.8/10
HHI 11 (2404 markets)10/10
79/130 profitable days (61%)7.7/10
Max DD 23% of peak ($1,111 / $4,882)9.4/10

Badges

8
Profitable
PnL $+9,427
Lottery Player
71% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 9.0 entries/market
Consistent
79/130 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 23%
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
84% maker orders

Categories

4
🌤️ WEATHER#244$8,204Vol: $632,755
₿ CRYPTO#1,225,208$-16Vol: $434
🎭 CULTURE#0$0Vol: $100
⚽ SPORTS#591,533$-0Vol: $100

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$8,188
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$633,572
Total Redeem
$142
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2405
total markets
Trades
16737B / 5010S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~135d

Periods

#2
Today
$-85
Vol: $0
Week
$-515
Vol: $16,523
Month
$1,587
Vol: $61,830
All Time
$8,188
Vol: $633,572

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
54%
1288W / 1116L events
Realized PnL
$9,427
Win Rate
54%
1288W / 1116L
Profit Factor
1.3x
Avg Win
$16
Avg Loss
$-15

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,245 (0.23810321893556405% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 12?$1,333
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 14?$464
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on April 3?$448
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 6?$410
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 7°C on April 4?$394
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C or higher on April 3?$391
Will the lowest temperature in London be 21°C on July 8?$380
Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on July 22?$288
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on March 17?$253
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 2?$246

Top Losers

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 6?$-123

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.205
Sortino
0.406
HHI
10
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.117
Kelly %
13.5%
Half-Kelly
6.7%
Top-1 market
1.1%
Top-5 markets
2.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
104.6
Very active
Markets / Day
11.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
9.7m
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.17
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
23 min
Avg Trades / Session
31.3

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 128s — normal for humanCV 2.17 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock105 trades/day — automation12 markets/day — mass coverage84% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.05
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)71.1%
Mid (20-55c)19.1%
High (>55c)9.9%

Sessions

#12
3/23/2026, 10:04:57 AM161 trades$78611 min
4/29/2026, 7:25:28 AM5 trades$5094 min
6/11/2026, 3:51:27 PM3 trades$4520 min
4/29/2026, 10:33:20 AM4 trades$3290 min
4/2/2026, 9:32:35 AM18 trades$24113 min
3/17/2026, 9:32:29 PM143 trades$22979 min
4/1/2026, 6:36:49 PM24 trades$20513 min
3/23/2026, 10:21:23 AM40 trades$1948 min
4/3/2026, 7:09:03 AM12 trades$17518 min
3/17/2026, 12:55:57 AM43 trades$16736 min
3/16/2026, 3:41:59 PM77 trades$14867 min
3/19/2026, 3:21:29 AM33 trades$14542 min
3/19/2026, 1:29:13 PM38 trades$14329 min
2/14/2026, 1:17:51 AM30 trades$13725 min
3/17/2026, 11:45:55 PM70 trades$13682 min
6/6/2026, 2:22:07 PM1 trades$1340 min
3/27/2026, 9:59:29 PM40 trades$12324 min
3/12/2026, 4:11:47 PM44 trades$12338 min
3/15/2026, 11:02:31 PM37 trades$12148 min
3/20/2026, 2:32:29 AM60 trades$11930 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-10
02-23
03-17
04-25
05-16
06-25
08-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 5 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
23% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.05/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L71.1 / M19.1 / H9.9