@Billy1814

#2,207,09025

0x5874dcabe5bbeb19696a11ebfbfca4a1dededbfc

~97d· 81 markets · 192 tradesVol: $19,6942026-10-08 01:42:42
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

25
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

50% (32/64)10/20
0.15x (win $4 / loss $28)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -8.0340/15
Sortino -7.5090/10
$-0.0133 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 459 (64 markets)10/10
25/49 profitable days (51%)5.3/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($27 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,303,461$-11Vol: $9,829
🎭 CULTURE#620,196$-3Vol: $5,027
⚽ SPORTS#1,316,587$-8Vol: $4,531
📈 ECONOMICS#186,743$0Vol: $229
₿ CRYPTO#1,016,011$-4Vol: $58
💰 FINANCE#303,973$0Vol: $13
🌤️ WEATHER#139,753$0Vol: $3
💻 TECH#139,219$0Vol: $2
📢 MENTIONS#58,765$0Vol: $2

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-27
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$19,694
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
81
total markets
Trades
115B / 77S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~97d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $41
Month
$-0
Vol: $203
All Time
$-27
Vol: $19,694

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
46%
27W / 32L events
Realized PnL
$-27
Win Rate
46%
27W / 32L
Profit Factor
0.15x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-1

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2 (0.05871283402333459% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series?$1
Will Qinwen Zheng be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$1
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$0
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?$0
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?$0
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?$0
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October meeting?$0

Top Losers

Will Taro Kono be the next Prime Minister of Japan?$-4
Will Jared Goff win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$-3
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the UEFA Champions League?$-3
Will Will Levi be Trump's Attorney General?$-3
Will another party win the most seats in the next German election?$-3
Will Phil Laak win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$-2
Ethereum above $3,400 on February 7?$-2
Bitcoin above $105,000 on January 31?$-2
Will Ed Sheeran be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$-2
Will Heidi Reichinnek be the next Chancellor of Germany?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.416
Sortino
-0.355
HHI
504
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.013
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.8%
Top-5 markets
38.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.4h
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.77
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.3

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 74s — normal for humanCV 1.77 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal32% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.97
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)11.3%
Mid (20-55c)0.9%
High (>55c)87.8%

Sessions

#12
11/19/2025, 8:36:13 PM1 trades$1380 min
11/11/2025, 12:50:40 PM1 trades$1380 min
11/2/2025, 6:30:53 PM1 trades$1360 min
11/15/2025, 6:07:30 PM1 trades$1320 min
11/17/2025, 5:31:29 PM1 trades$1320 min
11/13/2025, 6:10:26 PM1 trades$1300 min
10/28/2025, 12:50:01 AM1 trades$730 min
10/29/2025, 5:38:35 AM1 trades$650 min
5/14/2026, 8:14:26 PM10 trades$433 min
5/27/2026, 8:37:02 PM6 trades$412 min
9/7/2026, 1:35:37 PM10 trades$405 min
6/30/2026, 10:54:13 PM6 trades$372 min
3/6/2026, 5:19:09 AM5 trades$362 min
1/27/2026, 8:53:17 PM3 trades$362 min
9/27/2026, 1:59:51 PM8 trades$353 min
4/13/2026, 9:20:05 AM4 trades$311 min
4/2/2026, 4:34:43 PM2 trades$240 min
5/17/2026, 5:14:14 PM2 trades$240 min
3/22/2026, 5:24:17 PM2 trades$231 min
11/28/2025, 2:08:31 AM1 trades$230 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-28
02-06
05-29
10-29
01-01
05-14
10-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.97/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L11.3 / M0.9 / H87.8